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Persistence of iterated partial sums

Amir DemboJian DingFuchang Gao — 2013

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

Let S n ( 2 ) denote the iterated partial sums. That is, S n ( 2 ) = S 1 + S 2 + + S n , where S i = X 1 + X 2 + + X i . Assuming X 1 , X 2 , ... , X n are integrable, zero-mean, i.i.d. random variables, we show that the persistence probabilities p n ( 2 ) : = max 1 i n S i ( 2 ) l t ; 0 c 𝔼 | S n + 1 | ( n + 1 ) 𝔼 | X 1 | , with c 6 30 (and c = 2 whenever X 1 is symmetric). The converse inequality holds whenever the non-zero min ( - X 1 , 0 ) is bounded or when it has only finite third moment and in addition X 1 is squared integrable. Furthermore, p n ( 2 ) n - 1 / 4 for any non-degenerate squared integrable, i.i.d., zero-mean X i . In contrast, we show that for any 0 l t ; γ l t ; 1 / 4 there exist integrable, zero-mean...

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