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Estimation for misspecified ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations

Masayuki UchidaNakahiro Yoshida — 2011

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

The joint estimation of both drift and diffusion coefficient parameters is treated under the situation where the data are discretely observed from an ergodic diffusion process and where the statistical model may or may not include the true diffusion process. We consider the minimum contrast estimator, which is equivalent to the maximum likelihood type estimator, obtained from the contrast function based on a locally Gaussian approximation of the transition density. The asymptotic normality of the...

Second-order asymptotic expansion for a non-synchronous covariation estimator

Arnak DalalyanNakahiro Yoshida — 2011

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the covariation of two diffusion processes when observations are subject to non-synchronicity. Building on recent papers [ (2005) 359–379, (2008) 367–406], we derive second-order asymptotic expansions for the distribution of the Hayashi–Yoshida estimator in a fairly general setup including random sampling schemes and non-anticipative random drifts. The key steps leading to our results are a second-order decomposition...

Estimation for misspecified ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations

Masayuki UchidaNakahiro Yoshida — 2012

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

The joint estimation of both drift and diffusion coefficient parameters is treated under the situation where the data are discretely observed from an ergodic diffusion process and where the statistical model may or may not include the true diffusion process. We consider the minimum contrast estimator, which is equivalent to the maximum likelihood type estimator, obtained from the contrast function based on a locally Gaussian approximation of the transition density. The asymptotic normality of...

Irregular sampling and central limit theorems for power variations : the continuous case

Takaki HayashiJean JacodNakahiro Yoshida — 2011

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques

In the context of high frequency data, one often has to deal with observations occurring at irregularly spaced times, at transaction times for example in finance. Here we examine how the estimation of the squared or other powers of the volatility is affected by irregularly spaced data. The emphasis is on the kind of assumptions on the sampling scheme which allow to provide consistent estimators, together with an associated central limit theorem, and especially when the sampling scheme depends on...

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