Approximation of the probability of insolvability of a portfolio
The authors review and criticize different approaches for calculations of ruin probabilities in one or multiperiod life insurance portfolios. They claim that precise calculations are time-consuming and in some cases (especially in the multiperiod ones) are practically inaccessible even if theoretical formulae are available. The reviewer considers that, because parameters of any such model must be estimated somehow, then precision in calculations cannot be achieved. For example, the authors assume...