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Spread Pattern Formation of H5N1-Avian Influenza and its Implications for Control Strategies

R. LiuV. R. S. K. DuvvuriJ. Wu — 2008

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

Mechanisms contributing to the spread of avian influenza seem to be well identified, but how their interplay led to the current worldwide spread pattern of H5N1 influenza is still unknown due to the lack of effective global surveillance and relevant data. Here we develop some deterministic models based on the transmission cycle and modes of H5N1 and focusing on the interaction among poultry, wild birds and environment. Some of the model parameters are obtained from existing literatures, and others...

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