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Bayesian inference in group judgement formulation and decision making using qualitative controlled feedback.

S. James Press (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about group judgements and group decisions using Qualitative Controlled Feedback, from the Bayesian point of view. The qualitative controlled feedback procedure was first introduced by Press (1978), for a single question of interest. The procedure in first reviewed here including the extension of the model to the multiple question case. We develop a model for responses of the panel on each stage. Many questions are treated simultaneously...

Belief functions induced by multimodal probability density functions, an application to the search and rescue problem

P.-E. Doré, A. Martin, I. Abi-Zeid, A.-L. Jousselme, P. Maupin (2010)

RAIRO - Operations Research - Recherche Opérationnelle

In this paper, we propose a new method to generate a continuous belief functions from a multimodal probability distribution function defined over a continuous domain. We generalize Smets' approach in the sense that focal elements of the resulting continuous belief function can be disjoint sets of the extended real space of dimension n. We then derive the continuous belief function from multimodal probability density functions using the least commitment principle. We illustrate the approach on two...

Belief functions induced by multimodal probability density functions, an application to the search and rescue problem

P.-E. Doré, A. Martin, I. Abi-Zeid, A.-L. Jousselme, P. Maupin (2011)

RAIRO - Operations Research

In this paper, we propose a new method to generate a continuous belief functions from a multimodal probability distribution function defined over a continuous domain. We generalize Smets' approach in the sense that focal elements of the resulting continuous belief function can be disjoint sets of the extended real space of dimension n. We then derive the continuous belief function from multimodal probability density functions using the least commitment principle. We illustrate the approach on two...

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