Bayesian inference in group judgement formulation and decision making using qualitative controlled feedback.

S. James Press

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa (1980)

  • Volume: 31, Issue: 1, page 397-415
  • ISSN: 0041-0241

Abstract

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This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about group judgements and group decisions using Qualitative Controlled Feedback, from the Bayesian point of view. The qualitative controlled feedback procedure was first introduced by Press (1978), for a single question of interest. The procedure in first reviewed here including the extension of the model to the multiple question case. We develop a model for responses of the panel on each stage. Many questions are treated simultaneously and an autoregressive model is developed for explaining the responses of the group members as a function of the feedback. The errors are assumed to follow a matrix intraclass covariance structure. Marginal and conditional posterior distributions of the regression coefficient vector are found in both small and large samples. The broadly defined generic family of multidimensional Student-t distributions is found to play a major role in the results.

How to cite

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Press, S. James. "Bayesian inference in group judgement formulation and decision making using qualitative controlled feedback.." Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa 31.1 (1980): 397-415. <http://eudml.org/doc/40837>.

@article{Press1980,
abstract = {This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about group judgements and group decisions using Qualitative Controlled Feedback, from the Bayesian point of view. The qualitative controlled feedback procedure was first introduced by Press (1978), for a single question of interest. The procedure in first reviewed here including the extension of the model to the multiple question case. We develop a model for responses of the panel on each stage. Many questions are treated simultaneously and an autoregressive model is developed for explaining the responses of the group members as a function of the feedback. The errors are assumed to follow a matrix intraclass covariance structure. Marginal and conditional posterior distributions of the regression coefficient vector are found in both small and large samples. The broadly defined generic family of multidimensional Student-t distributions is found to play a major role in the results.},
author = {Press, S. James},
journal = {Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa},
keywords = {Inferencia bayesiana; Teoría de la decisión; Retroalimentación; multivariate group decision making; qualitative controlled feedback},
language = {eng},
number = {1},
pages = {397-415},
title = {Bayesian inference in group judgement formulation and decision making using qualitative controlled feedback.},
url = {http://eudml.org/doc/40837},
volume = {31},
year = {1980},
}

TY - JOUR
AU - Press, S. James
TI - Bayesian inference in group judgement formulation and decision making using qualitative controlled feedback.
JO - Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa
PY - 1980
VL - 31
IS - 1
SP - 397
EP - 415
AB - This paper considers the problem of making statistical inferences about group judgements and group decisions using Qualitative Controlled Feedback, from the Bayesian point of view. The qualitative controlled feedback procedure was first introduced by Press (1978), for a single question of interest. The procedure in first reviewed here including the extension of the model to the multiple question case. We develop a model for responses of the panel on each stage. Many questions are treated simultaneously and an autoregressive model is developed for explaining the responses of the group members as a function of the feedback. The errors are assumed to follow a matrix intraclass covariance structure. Marginal and conditional posterior distributions of the regression coefficient vector are found in both small and large samples. The broadly defined generic family of multidimensional Student-t distributions is found to play a major role in the results.
LA - eng
KW - Inferencia bayesiana; Teoría de la decisión; Retroalimentación; multivariate group decision making; qualitative controlled feedback
UR - http://eudml.org/doc/40837
ER -

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