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On the consistency of sieve bootstrap prediction intervals for stationary time series

Roman RóżańskiAdam Zagdański — 2004

Discussiones Mathematicae Probability and Statistics

In the article, we consider construction of prediction intervals for stationary time series using Bühlmann's [8], [9] sieve bootstrapapproach. Basic theoretical properties concerning consistency are proved. We extend the results obtained earlier by Stine [21], Masarotto and Grigoletto [13] for an autoregressive time series of finite order to the rich class of linear and invertible stationary models. Finite sample performance of the constructed intervals is investigated by computer simulations.

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