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Survival probabilities of autoregressive processes

Christoph Baumgarten — 2014

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

Given an autoregressive process of order (  =   + ··· +   +  where the random variables , ,... are i.i.d.), we study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the process does not exceed a constant barrier up to time (survival or persistence probability). Depending on the coefficients ,..., ...

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