The paper deals with the asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of a change point in a regression model where the regression function has two phases --- the first linear and the second quadratic. In the case when the linear coefficient after change is non-zero the limit distribution of the change point estimator is normal whereas it is non-normal if the linear coefficient is zero.
Recently Hušková (1998) has studied the least squares estimator of a change-point in gradually changing sequence supposing that the sequence increases (or decreases) linearly after the change-point. The present paper shows that the limit behavior of the change-point estimator for more complicated gradual changes is similar. The limit variance of the estimator can be easily calculated from the covariance function of a limit process.
A procedure for testing occurrance of a transient change in mean of a sequence is suggested where inside an epidemic interval the mean is a linear function of time points. Asymptotic behavior of considered trimmed maximum-type test statistics is presented. Approximate critical values are obtained using an approximation of exceedance probabilities over a high level by Gaussian fields with a locally stationary structure.
The paper concentrates on modeling the data that can be described by a homogeneous or non-homogeneous Poisson process. The goal is to decide whether the intensity of the process is constant or not. In technical practice, e.g., it means to decide whether the reliability of the system remains the same or if it is improving or deteriorating. We assume two situations. First, when only the counts of events are known and, second, when the times between the events are available. Several statistical tests...
Page 1