Stock price forecasting: Autoregressive modelling and fuzzy neural network.
Most models for the time series of stock prices have centered on autoregresive (AR) processes. Traditionaly, fundamental Box-Jenkins analysis [3] have been the mainstream methodology used to develop time series models. Next, we briefly describe the develop a classical AR model for stock price forecasting. Then a fuzzy regression model is then introduced. Following this description, an artificial fuzzy neural network based on B-spline member ship function is presented as an alternative to the stock...