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The Speed of Epidemic Waves in a One-Dimensional Lattice of SIR Models

Igor SazonovMark KelbertMichael B. Gravenor — 2008

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

A one-dimensional lattice of SIR (susceptible/infected/removed) epidemic centres is considered numerically and analytically. The limiting solutions describing the behaviour of the standard SIR model with a small number of initially infected individuals are derived, and expressions found for the duration of an outbreak. We study a model for a weakly mixed population distributed between the interacting centres. The centres are modelled as SIR nodes with interaction between sites determined by a diffusion-type...

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