This book provides a practical introduction to the R environment variety of modeling data collected at regular intervals. The book is addressed to anyone interested in time series models, and mainly to students and graduates of scientific, economic and technical faculties.
We apply the results of Baryshnikov, Mayo and Taylor (1998) to calculate non-arbitrage prices of a zero-coupon and coupon CAT bond. First, we derive pricing formulae in the compound doubly stochastic Poisson model framework. Next, we study 10-year catastrophe loss data provided by Property Claim Services and calibrate the pricing model. Finally, we illustrate the values of the CAT bonds tied to the loss data.
We compare 12 different approximations of ruin probability in infinite time studying typical light- and heavy-tailed claim size distributions, namely exponential, mixture of exponentials, gamma, lognormal, Weibull, loggamma, Pareto and Burr. We show that approximation based on the Pollaczek-Khinchin formula gives most accurate results, in fact it can be chosen as a reference method. We also introduce a promising modification to the De Vylder approximation.
In this article we introduce a De Vylder type of approximation of the ruin probability for a two-dimensional risk process, where claims and premiums are shared with a predetermined proportion. Such a process is usually associated with the insurer - reinsurer model. Applying De Vylder’s idea to the risk process we obtain an approximation of the ruin probability for an arbitrary claim amount distribution only assuming that the third moment exists. We check performance of the approximation by means...
In this article we introduce a De Vylder type of approximation of the ruin probability for a two-dimensional risk process, where claims and premiums are shared with a predetermined proportion. Such a process is usually associated with the insurer-reinsurer model. Applying De Vylder's idea to the risk process we obtain an approximation of the ruin probability for an arbitrary claim amount distribution only assuming that the third moment exists. We check the performance of the approximation by means...
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