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What is the best approximation of ruin probability in infinite time?

Krzysztof BurneckiPaweł MiśtaAleksander Weron — 2005

Applicationes Mathematicae

We compare 12 different approximations of ruin probability in infinite time studying typical light- and heavy-tailed claim size distributions, namely exponential, mixture of exponentials, gamma, lognormal, Weibull, loggamma, Pareto and Burr. We show that approximation based on the Pollaczek-Khinchin formula gives most accurate results, in fact it can be chosen as a reference method. We also introduce a promising modification to the De Vylder approximation.

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