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Properties of efficient sequential plans for a birth and death process

Roman Różański — 1981

Mathematica Applicanda

A birth and death process with parameters θ=(λ,μ), λ>0, μ>0, is considered. The absolute continuity of measures generated by this process is proved. The Rao-Cramér inequality for the variance of the unbiased estimator of a function h(θ) is derived. Some properties of the estimator attaining the Rao-Cramér lower bound are asserted.

Estimation of the hazard rate function with a reduction of bias and variance at the boundary

Bożena JaniszewskaRoman Różański — 2005

Discussiones Mathematicae Probability and Statistics

In the article, we propose a new estimator of the hazard rate function in the framework of the multiplicative point process intensity model. The technique combines the reflection method and the method of transformation. The new method eliminates the boundary effect for suitably selected transformations reducing the bias at the boundary and keeping the asymptotics of the variance. The transformation depends on a pre-estimate of the logarithmic derivative of the hazard function at the boundary.

On the consistency of sieve bootstrap prediction intervals for stationary time series

Roman RóżańskiAdam Zagdański — 2004

Discussiones Mathematicae Probability and Statistics

In the article, we consider construction of prediction intervals for stationary time series using Bühlmann's [8], [9] sieve bootstrapapproach. Basic theoretical properties concerning consistency are proved. We extend the results obtained earlier by Stine [21], Masarotto and Grigoletto [13] for an autoregressive time series of finite order to the rich class of linear and invertible stationary models. Finite sample performance of the constructed intervals is investigated by computer simulations.

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