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In many western economies, the phenomenon of ageing population implies that the large Pay-As-You-Go (PAYGO) social security system will run into several severe financial difficulties. In that direction, this paper constructs a discrete-time stochastic model for a quasi PAYGO social security system to allow the potential accumulation of a special (contingency) fund, which can oscillate so as to absorb fluctuations in the various system parameters involved. The basic difference equation is analytically...
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