Displaying similar documents to “Information-type divergence when the likelihood ratios are bounded”

Some history of the hierarchical Bayesian methodology.

Irving John Good (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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A standard tecnique in subjective Bayesian methodology is for a subject (you) to make judgements of the probabilities that a physical probability lies in various intervals. In the Bayesian hierarchical technique you make probability judgements (of a higher type, order, level or stage) concerning the judgements of lower type. The paper will outline some of the history of this hierarchical technique with emphasis on the contributions by I. J. Good because I have read every word written...

Equivalencia de problemas de decisión.

Agustín García Nogales (1990)

Trabajos de Estadística

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En este trabajo se introduce una definición de equivalencia de problemas de decisión. Los resultados y ejemplos que presentamos muestran que esta definición de equivalencia se adapta bien a la metodología de la estadística.

Unimodal contaminations in testing point null hypothesis.

Miguel Angel Gómez-Villegas, Luís Sanz (2003)

RACSAM

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The problem of testing a point null hypothesis from the Bayesian perspective is considered. The uncertainties are modelled through use of ε?contamination class with the class of contaminations including: i) All unimodal distributions and ii) All unimodal and symmetric distributions. Over these classes, the infimum of the posterior probability of the point null hypothesis is computed and compared with the p?value and a better approach than the one known is obtained.

Foundations of subjective probability and decision making: Discussion.

Irving John Good, Ludovico Piccinato, Cesáreo Villegas, James M. Dickey, Morris H. DeGroot, Donald A. S. Fraser, Simon French, Dennis V. Lindley (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Discussion on the papers by Girón, F. J. and Ríos, S., Quasi-Bayesian behaviour: a more realistic approach to dicision making? and by Hill, B. M., On finite additivity, non-conglomerability and statistical paradoxes, both of them part of a round table on Foundations of Subjective Probability and Decision Making held in the First International Congress on Bayesian Methods (Valencia, Spain, 28 May - 2 June 1979).

Likelihood and the Bayes procedure.

Hirotugu Akaike (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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In this paper the likelihood function is considered to be the primary source of the objectivity of a Bayesian method. The necessity of using the expected behaviour of the likelihood function for the choice of the prior distribution is emphasized. Numerical examples, including seasonal adjustment of time series, are given to illustrate the practical utility of the common-sense approach to Bayesian statistics proposed in this paper.

Modeling biased information seeking with second order probability distributions

Gernot D. Kleiter (2015)

Kybernetika

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Updating probabilities by information from only one hypothesis and thereby ignoring alternative hypotheses, is not only biased but leads to progressively imprecise conclusions. In psychology this phenomenon was studied in experiments with the “pseudodiagnosticity task”. In probability logic the phenomenon that additional premises increase the imprecision of a conclusion is known as “degradation”. The present contribution investigates degradation in the context of second order probability...