### Scaling of Stochasticity in Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever Epidemics

M. Aguiar, B.W. Kooi, J. Martins, N. Stollenwerk (2012)

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena

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In this paper we analyze the stochastic version of a minimalistic multi-strain model, which captures essential differences between primary and secondary infections in dengue fever epidemiology, and investigate the interplay between stochasticity, seasonality and import. The introduction of stochasticity is needed to explain the fluctuations observed in some of the available data sets, revealing a scenario where noise and complex deterministic...