Displaying similar documents to “Discriminant analysis of zero recovery for China's NPL.”

Bayesian methods in hydrology: a review.

David Ríos Insua, Raquel Montes Díez, Jesús Palomo Martínez (2002)

RACSAM

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Hydrology and water resources management are inherently affected by uncertainty in many of their involved processes, including inflows, rainfall, water demand, evaporation, etc. Statistics plays, therefore, an essential role in their study. We review here some recent advances within Bayesian statistics and decision analysis which will have a profound impact in these fields.

Incorporating patients' characteristics in cost-effectiveness studies with clinical trial data: a flexible Bayesian approach.

Francisco José Vázquez Polo, Miguel Angel Negrín Hernández (2004)

SORT

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Most published research on the comparison between medical treatment options merely compares the results (effectiveness and cost) obtained for each treatment group. The present work proposes the incorporation of other patient characteristics into the analysis. Most of the studies carried out in this context assume normality of both costs and effectiveness. In practice, however, the data are not always distributed according to this assumption. Alternative models have to be developed. ...

Likelihood, sufficiency and ancillarity: Discussion.

George A. Barnard, P. R. Freeman, Daniel Peña, James M. Dickey, Seymour Geisser, Dennis V. Lindley, Anthony O'Hagan, Adrian F. M. Smith (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Discussion on the papers by Akaike, Hirotugu, Likelihood and the Bayes procedure and by Dawid, A. Philip, A Bayesian look at nuisance parameters, both of them part of a round table on Likelihood, sufficiency and ancillarity held in the First International Congress on Bayesian Methods (Valencia, Spain, 28 May - 2 June 1979).

Sequential learning, discontinuities and changes: Discussion.

Stephen E. Fienberg, José M. Bernardo, Philip J. Brown, A. Philip Dawid, James M. Dickey, Joseph B. Kadane, Tom Leonard (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Discussion on the papers by Makov, Udi E., Approximation of unsupervised Bayes learning procedures, Smith, Adrian F. M., Change-Point problems: approaches and applications and by Harrison, P. J. and Smith Jim Q., Discontinuity, decision and conflict, the three of them part of a round table on Sequential learning, discontinuities and changes held in the First International Congress on Bayesian Methods (Valencia, Spain, 28 May - 2 June 1979).

Coherence of models and utilities: Discussion.

James M. Dickey, William H. DuMouchel, José M. Bernardo, Simon French, Joseph B. Kadane, Dennis V. Lindley, Anthony O'Hagan, Adrian F. M. Smith, Thomas W. F. Stroud (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Discussion on the papers by Leonard, Tom, The roles of inductive modelling and coherence in Bayesian statistics and by Novick, Melvin R., Dekeyrel, D.F. and Chuang, D.T., Local and regional coherence utility assessment procedures, both of them part of a round table on Coherence of models and utilities held in the First International Congress on Bayesian Methods (Valencia, Spain, 28 May - 2 June 1979).

A model for credit scoring: an application of discriminant analysis.

Manuel Artís, Montserrat Guillén, José M.ª Martínez (1994)

Qüestiió

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The application of statistical techniques in decision making, and more specifically for classification requirements, has proved to be adequate in the context of financial problems. In this study, we present the methodology used and the results obtained in the elaboration of a decision-support system for credit assignment. The problem was to provide an automatic tool for a Spanish financial institution that needed to quantify and analyse credit applications from clients. Firstly, we shall...

On not being rational.

I. Richard Savage (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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A Bayesian decision-theoretic approach appears to me as a sensible idealization of a guide to behaviour. At the same time i would like to understand why my behaviour is not always of this form: I sometimes use randomization and I sometimes find confidence intervals acceptable. Not all of my problems have an explicit cost function. Am I lazy or irrational? Do I use non-Bayesian conventions to help communicate? Is the cost of rationality-computation missing from the Bayesian model? ...

Bayesian inference in applied statistics.

Arthur P. Dempster (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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The task of assessing posterior distributions from noisy empirical data imposes difficult requirements of modelling, computing and assessing sensitivity to model choice. Seasonal analysis of economic time series is used to illustrate ways of approaching such difficulties.

The roles of inductive modelling and coherence in Bayesian statistics.

Tom Leonard (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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The role of the inductive modelling process (IMP) seems to be of practical importance in Bayesian statistics; it is recommended that the statistician should emphasize meaningful real-life considerations rather than more formal aspects such as the axioms of coherence. It is argued that whilst axiomatics provide some motivation for the Bayesian philosophy, the real strength of Bayesianism lies in its practical advantages and its plausible representation of real-life processes. A number...

On the number of outliers in data from a linear model.

Peter R. Freeman (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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This paper reviews models for the occurrence of outliers in data from the linear model. The Bayesian analyses are all closely similar in form, but differ in the way they treat suspected outliers. The models are compared on Darwin's data and one of them is used on data from a 25 factorial experiment. The question on how many outliers are present involves comparison of models with different number of parameters. A solution using proper priors on all parameters...