Displaying similar documents to “Seasonal forecasting of tropical cyclone activity in the Australian and the South Pacific Ocean regions”

On inconsistency of Hellwig's variable choice method in regression models

Tadeusz Bednarski, Filip Borowicz (2009)

Discussiones Mathematicae Probability and Statistics

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It is shown that a popular variable choice method of Hellwig, which is recommended in the Polish econometric textbooks does not enjoy a very basic consistency property. It means in particular that the method may lead to rejection of significant variables in econometric modeling. A simulation study and a real data analysis case are given to support theoretical results.

Selection in parametric models via some stepdown procedures

Konrad Furmańczyk (2014)

Applicationes Mathematicae

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The paper considers the problem of consistent variable selection in parametic models with the use of stepdown multiple hypothesis procedures. Our approach completes the results of Bunea et al. [J. Statist. Plann. Inference 136 (2006)]. A simulation study supports the results obtained.

How to deal with regression models with a weak nonlinearity

Eva Tesaríková, Lubomír Kubáček (2001)

Discussiones Mathematicae Probability and Statistics

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If a nonlinear regression model is linearized in a non-sufficient small neighbourhood of the actual parameter, then all statistical inferences may be deteriorated. Some criteria how to recognize this are already developed. The aim of the paper is to demonstrate the behaviour of the program for utilization of these criteria.

Study of Bootstrap Estimates in Cox Regression Model with Delayed Entry

Silvie Bělašková, Eva Fišerová, Sylvia Krupičková (2013)

Acta Universitatis Palackianae Olomucensis. Facultas Rerum Naturalium. Mathematica

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In most clinical studies, patients are observed for extended time periods to evaluate influences in treatment such as drug treatment, approaches to surgery, etc. The primary event in these studies is death, relapse, adverse drug reaction, or development of a new disease. The follow-up time may range from few weeks to many years. Although these studies are long term, the number of observed events is small. Longitudinal studies have increased the importance of statistical methods for time-to...

A note on robust estimation in logistic regression model

Tadeusz Bednarski (2016)

Discussiones Mathematicae Probability and Statistics

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Computationally attractive Fisher consistent robust estimation methods based on adaptive explanatory variables trimming are proposed for the logistic regression model. Results of a Monte Carlo experiment and a real data analysis show its good behavior for moderate sample sizes. The method is applicable when some distributional information about explanatory variables is available.

On the Lp-Norm Regression Models for Estimating Value-at-Risk

Kumar, Pranesh, Kashanchi, Faramarz (2014)

Serdica Journal of Computing

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Analysis of risk measures associated with price series data movements and its predictions are of strategic importance in the financial markets as well as to policy makers in particular for short- and longterm planning for setting up economic growth targets. For example, oilprice risk-management focuses primarily on when and how an organization can best prevent the costly exposure to price risk. Value-at-Risk (VaR) is the commonly practised instrument to measure risk and is evaluated...