Displaying similar documents to “Robust methods in exponential smoothing”

Some problems of exponential smoothing

Tomáš Cipra (1989)

Aplikace matematiky

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The paper deals with some practical problems connected with the classical exponential smoothing in time series. The fundamental theorem of the exponential smoothing is extended to the case with missing observations and an interpolation procedure in the framework of the exponential smoothing is described. A simple method of the exponential smoothing for multivariate time series is suggested.

Time series analysis: recursive methods and their modifications for time series with outliers and missing observations.

Tomás Cipra, Asunción Rubio, José Trujillo (1991)

Extracta Mathematicae

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The recursive methods are popular in time series analysis since they are computationally efficient and flexible enough to treat various changes in character of data. This paper gives a survey of the most important type of these methods including their classification and relationships existing among them. Special attention is devoted to i) robustification of some recursive methods, capable of facing outliers in time series, and ii) modifications of recursive methods for time series with...

Seasonal time series with missing observations

Tomáš Ratinger (1996)

Applications of Mathematics

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Popular exponential smoothing methods dealt originally only with equally spaced observations. When time series contains gaps, smoothing constants have to be adjusted. Cipra et al., following Wright’s approach of irregularly spaced observations, have suggested ad hoc modification of smoothing constants for the Holt-Winters smoothing method. In this article the fact that the underlying model of the Holt-Winters method is a certain seasonal ARIMA is used. Minimum mean square error smoothing...