Displaying similar documents to “Robust inference in probability under vague information.”

On the foundations of statistics and decision theory.

José M. Bernardo, Javier Girón (1983)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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An elementary axiomatic foundation for decision theory is presented at a general enough level to cover standard applications of Bayesian methods. The intuitive meaning of both axioms and results is stressed. It is argued that statistical inference is a particular decision problem to which the axiomatic argument fully applies.

Local and regional coherence utility assessment procedures.

Melvin R. Novick, D. F. Dekeyrel, D. T. Chuang (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Novick and Lindley (1978, 1979) have dealt with the use of utility functions for applications in education and have advocated the use of the standard gamble (von Neumann and Morgenstern, 1953) elicitation procedure with the addition of coherence checking using overspecification and a least squares fit. In this procedure utilities are inferred from probability judgements offered by the assessor. This paper describes local and regional coherence procedures which seek utility coherence...

An extended problem to Bertrand's paradox

Mostafa K. Ardakani, Shaun S. Wulff (2014)

Discussiones Mathematicae Probability and Statistics

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Bertrand's paradox is a longstanding problem within the classical interpretation of probability theory. The solutions 1/2, 1/3, and 1/4 were proposed using three different approaches to model the problem. In this article, an extended problem, of which Bertrand's paradox is a special case, is proposed and solved. For the special case, it is shown that the corresponding solution is 1/3. Moreover, the reasons of inconsistency are discussed and a proper modeling approach is determined by...

Null events and stochastical independence

Giulianella Colleti, Romano Scozzafava (1998)

Kybernetika

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In this paper we point out the lack of the classical definitions of stochastical independence (particularly with respect to events of 0 and 1 probability) and then we propose a definition that agrees with all the classical ones when the probabilities of the relevant events are both different from 0 and 1, but that is able to focus the actual stochastical independence also in these extreme cases. Therefore this definition avoids inconsistencies such as the possibility that an event A ...

Foundations of subjective probability and decision making: Discussion.

Irving John Good, Ludovico Piccinato, Cesáreo Villegas, James M. Dickey, Morris H. DeGroot, Donald A. S. Fraser, Simon French, Dennis V. Lindley (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Discussion on the papers by Girón, F. J. and Ríos, S., Quasi-Bayesian behaviour: a more realistic approach to dicision making? and by Hill, B. M., On finite additivity, non-conglomerability and statistical paradoxes, both of them part of a round table on Foundations of Subjective Probability and Decision Making held in the First International Congress on Bayesian Methods (Valencia, Spain, 28 May - 2 June 1979).