Displaying similar documents to “Cumulative processes related to event histories.”

Survival probabilities for HIV infected patients through semi-Markov processes

Giovanni Masala, Giuseppina Cannas, Marco Micocci (2014)

Biometrical Letters

Similarity:

In this paper we apply a parametric semi-Markov process to model the dynamic evolution of HIV-1 infected patients. The seriousness of the infection is rendered by the CD4+ T-lymphocyte counts. For this purpose we introduce the main features of nonhomogeneous semi-Markov models. After determining the transition probabilities and the waiting time distributions in each state of the disease, we solve the evolution equations of the process in order to estimate the interval transition probabilities....

Risk-sensitive average optimality in Markov decision processes

Karel Sladký (2018)

Kybernetika

Similarity:

In this note attention is focused on finding policies optimizing risk-sensitive optimality criteria in Markov decision chains. To this end we assume that the total reward generated by the Markov process is evaluated by an exponential utility function with a given risk-sensitive coefficient. The ratio of the first two moments depends on the value of the risk-sensitive coefficient; if the risk-sensitive coefficient is equal to zero we speak on risk-neutral models. Observe that the first...

Sample-path average cost optimality for semi-Markov control processes on Borel spaces: unbounded costs and mean holding times

Oscar Vega-Amaya, Fernando Luque-Vásquez (2000)

Applicationes Mathematicae

Similarity:

We deal with semi-Markov control processes (SMCPs) on Borel spaces with unbounded cost and mean holding time. Under suitable growth conditions on the cost function and the mean holding time, together with stability properties of the embedded Markov chains, we show the equivalence of several average cost criteria as well as the existence of stationary optimal policies with respect to each of these criteria.

Hazard rate model and statistical analysis of a compound point process

Petr Volf (2005)

Kybernetika

Similarity:

A stochastic process cumulating random increments at random moments is studied. We model it as a two-dimensional random point process and study advantages of such an approach. First, a rather general model allowing for the dependence of both components mutually as well as on covariates is formulated, then the case where the increments depend on time is analyzed with the aid of the multiplicative hazard regression model. Special attention is devoted to the problem of prediction of process...

Likelihood for interval-censored observations from multi-state models.

Daniel Commenges (2003)

SORT

Similarity:

We consider the mixed dicrete-continuous pattern of observation in a multi-state model; this is a classical pattern because very often clinical status is assessed at discrete visit times while time of death is observed exactly. The likelihood can easily be written heuristically for such models. However a formal proof is not easy in such observational patterns. We give a rigorous derivation al the likelihood for the illness-death model based on applying Jacod´s formula to an observed...

Pricing bonds and CDS in the model with rating migration induced by a Cox process

Jacek Jakubowski, Mariusz Niewęgłowski (2008)

Banach Center Publications

Similarity:

We investigate the properties of a rating migration process assuming that it is given by subordination of a discrete time Markov chain and a Cox process. The problem of pricing of defaultable bonds with fractional recovery of par value with rating migration and credit default swaps is considered. As an example of applications of our results, we give an explicit solution to the pricing problem in a model with short rate and intensity processes given by the solution of a two-dimensional...