Evaluating default priors with a generalization of Eaton’s Markov chain

Brian P. Shea; Galin L. Jones

Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques (2014)

  • Volume: 50, Issue: 3, page 1069-1091
  • ISSN: 0246-0203

Abstract

top
We consider evaluating improper priors in a formal Bayes setting according to the consequences of their use. Let 𝛷 be a class of functions on the parameter space and consider estimating elements of 𝛷 under quadratic loss. If the formal Bayes estimator of every function in 𝛷 is admissible, then the prior is strongly admissible with respect to 𝛷 . Eaton’s method for establishing strong admissibility is based on studying the stability properties of a particular Markov chain associated with the inferential setting. In previous work, this was handled differently depending upon whether ϕ 𝛷 was bounded or unbounded. We consider a new Markov chain which allows us to unify and generalize existing approaches while simultaneously broadening the scope of their potential applicability. We use our general theory to investigate strong admissibility conditions for location models when the prior is Lebesgue measure and for the p -dimensional multivariate Normal distribution with unknown mean vector θ and a prior of the form ν ( θ 2 ) d θ .

How to cite

top

Shea, Brian P., and Jones, Galin L.. "Evaluating default priors with a generalization of Eaton’s Markov chain." Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques 50.3 (2014): 1069-1091. <http://eudml.org/doc/272028>.

@article{Shea2014,
abstract = {We consider evaluating improper priors in a formal Bayes setting according to the consequences of their use. Let $\varPhi $ be a class of functions on the parameter space and consider estimating elements of $\varPhi $ under quadratic loss. If the formal Bayes estimator of every function in $\varPhi $ is admissible, then the prior is strongly admissible with respect to $\varPhi $. Eaton’s method for establishing strong admissibility is based on studying the stability properties of a particular Markov chain associated with the inferential setting. In previous work, this was handled differently depending upon whether $\varphi \in \varPhi $ was bounded or unbounded. We consider a new Markov chain which allows us to unify and generalize existing approaches while simultaneously broadening the scope of their potential applicability. We use our general theory to investigate strong admissibility conditions for location models when the prior is Lebesgue measure and for the $p$-dimensional multivariate Normal distribution with unknown mean vector $\theta $ and a prior of the form $\nu (\Vert \theta \Vert ^\{2\})\,\mathrm \{d\}\theta $.},
author = {Shea, Brian P., Jones, Galin L.},
journal = {Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques},
keywords = {admissibility; improper prior distribution; symmetric Markov chain; recurrence; Dirichlet form; formal Bayes rule},
language = {eng},
number = {3},
pages = {1069-1091},
publisher = {Gauthier-Villars},
title = {Evaluating default priors with a generalization of Eaton’s Markov chain},
url = {http://eudml.org/doc/272028},
volume = {50},
year = {2014},
}

TY - JOUR
AU - Shea, Brian P.
AU - Jones, Galin L.
TI - Evaluating default priors with a generalization of Eaton’s Markov chain
JO - Annales de l'I.H.P. Probabilités et statistiques
PY - 2014
PB - Gauthier-Villars
VL - 50
IS - 3
SP - 1069
EP - 1091
AB - We consider evaluating improper priors in a formal Bayes setting according to the consequences of their use. Let $\varPhi $ be a class of functions on the parameter space and consider estimating elements of $\varPhi $ under quadratic loss. If the formal Bayes estimator of every function in $\varPhi $ is admissible, then the prior is strongly admissible with respect to $\varPhi $. Eaton’s method for establishing strong admissibility is based on studying the stability properties of a particular Markov chain associated with the inferential setting. In previous work, this was handled differently depending upon whether $\varphi \in \varPhi $ was bounded or unbounded. We consider a new Markov chain which allows us to unify and generalize existing approaches while simultaneously broadening the scope of their potential applicability. We use our general theory to investigate strong admissibility conditions for location models when the prior is Lebesgue measure and for the $p$-dimensional multivariate Normal distribution with unknown mean vector $\theta $ and a prior of the form $\nu (\Vert \theta \Vert ^{2})\,\mathrm {d}\theta $.
LA - eng
KW - admissibility; improper prior distribution; symmetric Markov chain; recurrence; Dirichlet form; formal Bayes rule
UR - http://eudml.org/doc/272028
ER -

References

top
  1. [1] J. Berger and W. E. Strawderman. Choice of hierarchical priors: Admissibility of Normal means. Ann. Statist.24 (1996) 931–951. Zbl0865.62004MR1401831
  2. [2] J. Berger, W. E. Strawderman and D. Tan. Posterior propriety and admissibility of hyperpriors in Normal hierarchical models. Ann. Statist.33 (2005) 606–646. Zbl1068.62005MR2163154
  3. [3] A. C. Brandwein and W. E. Strawderman. Stein estimation for spherically symmetric distributions: Recent developments. Stat. Sci.27 (2012) 11–23. Zbl0955.62611MR2953492
  4. [4] L. D. Brown. Admissible estimators, recurrent diffusions, and insoluble boundary value problems. Ann. Math. Statist.42 (1971) 855–903. Zbl0246.62016MR286209
  5. [5] K. L. Chung and W. H. Fuchs. On the distribution of values of sums of random variables. Mem. Amer. Math. Soc.6 (1951) 1–12. Zbl0042.37502MR40610
  6. [6] M. L. Eaton. A method for evaluating improper prior distributions. In Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics III. S. S. Gupta and J. O. Berger (Eds). Academic Press, Inc., New York, 1982. Zbl0581.62005MR705296
  7. [7] M. L. Eaton. A statistical diptych: Admissible inferences – Recurrence of symmetric Markov chains. Ann. Statist.20 (1992) 1147–1179. Zbl0767.62002MR1186245
  8. [8] M. L. Eaton. Admissibility in quadratically regular problems and recurrence of symmetric Markov chains: Why the connection? J. Statist. Plan. Inference64 (1997) 231–247. Zbl0944.62010MR1621615
  9. [9] M. L. Eaton. Markov chain conditions for admissibility in estimation problems with quadratic loss. In State of the Art in Probability and Statistics: Festschrift for Willem R. van Zwet 223–243. M. de Gunst, C. Klaasen and A. van der Vaart (Eds). IMS Lecture Notes Ser. 36. IMS, Beechwood, OH, 2001. MR1836563
  10. [10] M. L. Eaton. Evaluating improper priors and recurrence of symmetric Markov chains: An overview. In A Festschrift for Herman Rubin 5–20. A. DasGupta (Ed.). IMS Lecture Notes Ser. 45. IMS, Beechwood, OH, 2004. Zbl1268.62010MR2126883
  11. [11] M. L. Eaton, J. P. Hobert and G. L. Jones. On perturbations of strongly admissible prior distributions. Ann. Inst. Henri Poincaré Probab. Stat.43 (2007) 633–653. Zbl1118.62009MR2347100
  12. [12] M. L. Eaton, J. P. Hobert, G. L. Jones and W.-L. Lai. Evaluation of formal posterior distributions via Markov chain arguments. Ann. Statist.36 (2008) 2423–2452. Zbl1274.62078MR2458193
  13. [13] J. P. Hobert and C. P. Robert. Eaton’s Markov chain, its conjugate partner, and 𝒫 -admissibility. Ann. Statist.27 (1999) 361–373. Zbl0945.62012MR1701115
  14. [14] J. P. Hobert and J. Schweinsberg. Conditions for recurrence and transience of a Markov chain on + and estimation of a geometric success probability. Ann. Statist.30 (2002) 1214–1223. Zbl1103.60315MR1926175
  15. [15] J. P. Hobert, A. Tan and R. Liu. When is Eaton’s Markov chain irreducible? Bernoulli13 (2007) 641–652. Zbl1131.60066MR2348744
  16. [16] W. James and C. Stein (1961). Estimation with quadratic loss. In Proc. Fourth Berkeley Symp. Math. Statist. Probab., Vol. 1 361–380. Univ. California Press, Berkeley. Zbl1281.62026MR133191
  17. [17] B. W. Johnson. On the admissibility of improper Bayes inferences in fair bayes decision problems. Ph.D. thesis, Univ. Minnesota, 1991. MR2686274
  18. [18] R. E. Kass and L. Wasserman. The selection of prior distributions by formal rules. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc.91 (1996) 1343–1370. Zbl0884.62007MR1478684
  19. [19] W.-L. Lai. Admissibility and recurrence of Markov chains with applications. Ph.D. thesis, Univ. Minnesota, 1996. 
  20. [20] S. P. Meyn and R. L. Tweedie. Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability. Springer, London, 1993. Zbl0925.60001MR1287609
  21. [21] D. Revuz. Markov Chains, 2nd edition. North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1984. Zbl0332.60045MR758799
  22. [22] C. Stein. The admissibility of Pitman’s estimator of a single location parameter. Ann. Math. Statist.30 (1959) 970–979. Zbl0087.15101MR109392
  23. [23] G. Taraldsen and B. H. Lindqvist. Improper priors are not improper. Amer. Statist.64 (2010) 154–158. MR2757006

NotesEmbed ?

top

You must be logged in to post comments.

To embed these notes on your page include the following JavaScript code on your page where you want the notes to appear.

Only the controls for the widget will be shown in your chosen language. Notes will be shown in their authored language.

Tells the widget how many notes to show per page. You can cycle through additional notes using the next and previous controls.

    
                

Note: Best practice suggests putting the JavaScript code just before the closing </body> tag.