O teorii strategických her
Let be a -dimensional nonnegative strict white noise with finite second moments. Let be nondecreasing functions from onto such that for . Let be a matrix with nonnegative elements having all its roots inside the unit circle. Define a process by for . A method for estimating from a realization is proposed. It is proved that the estimators are strongly consistent.
Methods for estimating parameters and testing hypotheses in a periodic autoregression are investigated in the paper. The parameters of the model are supposed to be random variables with a vague prior density. The innovation process can have either constant or periodically changing variances. Theoretical results are demonstrated on two simulated series and on two sets of real data.
The periodic autoregressive process with non-vanishing mean and with exogenous variables is investigated in the paper. It is assumed that the model has also periodic variances. The statistical analysis is based on the Bayes approach with a vague prior density. Estimators of the parameters and asymptotic tests of hypotheses are derived.
The model of periodic autoregression is generalized to the multivariate case. The autoregressive matrices are periodic functions of time. The mean value of the process can be a non-vanishing periodic sequence of vectors. Estimators of parameters and tests of statistical hypotheses are based on the Bayes approach. Two main versions of the model are investigated, one with constant variance matrices and the other with periodic variance matrices of the innovation process.
A generalization of a test for non-nested models in linear regression is derived for the case when there are several regression models with more regressors.
An iterative method for linear extrapolation of twodimensional random sequences is derived. Steps of this procedure are based (i) on Jaglom’s method, (ii) on Hájek’s method. A numerical example is given in the both cases. Finally the iterative method is generalized for the - dimensional case.
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