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Limits of Bayesian decision related quantities of binomial asset price models

Wolfgang StummerWei Lao — 2012

Kybernetika

We study Bayesian decision making based on observations X n , t : t { 0 , T n , 2 T n , ... , n T n } ( T > 0 , n ) of the discrete-time price dynamics of a financial asset, when the hypothesis a special n -period binomial model and the alternative is a different n -period binomial model. As the observation gaps tend to zero (i. e. n ), we obtain the limits of the corresponding Bayes risk as well as of the related Hellinger integrals and power divergences. Furthermore, we also give an example for the “non-commutativity” between Bayesian statistical and...

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