Improving predictive distributions.
Morris H. DeGroot (1980)
Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa
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Consider a sequence of decision problems S, S, ... and suppose that in problem S the statistician must specify his predictive distribution F for some random variable X and make a decision based on that distribution. For example, X might be the return on some particular investment and the statistician must decide whether or not to make that investment. The random variables X, X, ... are assumed to be independent and completely unrelated. It is also assumed that each predictive distribution...