Displaying similar documents to “Bayesian analysis of structural change in a distributed Lag Model (Koyck Scheme)”

On the number of outliers in data from a linear model.

Peter R. Freeman (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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This paper reviews models for the occurrence of outliers in data from the linear model. The Bayesian analyses are all closely similar in form, but differ in the way they treat suspected outliers. The models are compared on Darwin's data and one of them is used on data from a 25 factorial experiment. The question on how many outliers are present involves comparison of models with different number of parameters. A solution using proper priors on all parameters...

Pivotal inference and the Bayesian controversy.

George A. Barnard (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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The theory of pivotal inference applies when parameters are defined by reference to their effect on observations rather than their effect on distributions. It is shown that pivotal inference embraces both Bayesian and frequentist reasoning.

Sampling inference, Bayes' inference and robustness in the advancement of learning.

George E. P. Box (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Scientific learning is seen as an iterative process employing Criticism and Estimation. Sampling theory use of predictive distributions for model criticism is examined and also the implications for significance tests and the theory of precise measurement. Normal theory examples and ridge estimates are considered. Predictive checking functions for transformation, serial correlation, and bad values are reviewed as is their relation with Bayesian options. Robustness is seen from a Bayesian...

Sequential learning, discontinuities and changes: Discussion.

Stephen E. Fienberg, José M. Bernardo, Philip J. Brown, A. Philip Dawid, James M. Dickey, Joseph B. Kadane, Tom Leonard (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Discussion on the papers by Makov, Udi E., Approximation of unsupervised Bayes learning procedures, Smith, Adrian F. M., Change-Point problems: approaches and applications and by Harrison, P. J. and Smith Jim Q., Discontinuity, decision and conflict, the three of them part of a round table on Sequential learning, discontinuities and changes held in the First International Congress on Bayesian Methods (Valencia, Spain, 28 May - 2 June 1979).

Sensitivity to models: Discussion.

William F. Eddy, Anthony O'Hagan, José M. Bernardo, Philip J. Brown, A. Philip Dawid, James M. Dickey, Irving John Good, Adrian F. M. Smith (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Discussion on the papers by Freeman, Peter R., On the number of outliers in data from a linear model and by Box, George E. P., Sampling inference, Bayes' inference and robustness in the advancement of learning, both of them part of a round table on Sensitivity to models held in the First International Congress on Bayesian Methods (Valencia, Spain, 28 May - 2 June 1979).

A Bayesian Spatial Mixture Model for FMRI Analysis

Geliazkova, Maya (2010)

Serdica Journal of Computing

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We develop, implement and study a new Bayesian spatial mixture model (BSMM). The proposed BSMM allows for spatial structure in the binary activation indicators through a latent thresholded Gaussian Markov random field. We develop a Gibbs (MCMC) sampler to perform posterior inference on the model parameters, which then allows us to assess the posterior probabilities of activation for each voxel. One purpose of this article is to compare the HJ model and the BSMM in terms of receiver operating characteristics...

Bayesian inference in applied statistics.

Arthur P. Dempster (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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The task of assessing posterior distributions from noisy empirical data imposes difficult requirements of modelling, computing and assessing sensitivity to model choice. Seasonal analysis of economic time series is used to illustrate ways of approaching such difficulties.

Beliefs about beliefs, a theory for stochastic assessment of subjective probabilities.

James M. Dickey (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Parameterized families of subjective probability distributions can be used to great advantage to model beliefs of experts, especially when such models include dependence on concomitant variables. In one such model, probabilities of simple events can be expressed in loglinear form. In another, a generalization of the multivariate t distribution has concomitant variables entering linearly through the location vector. Interactive interview methods for assessing this second model and matrix...

A Bayesian look at nuisance parameters.

A. Philip Dawid (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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The elimination of nuisance parameters has classically been tackled by various ad hoc devices, and has led to a number of attemps to define partial sufficiency and ancillarity. The Bayesian approach is clearly defined. This paper examines some classical procedures in order to see when they can be given a Bayesian justification.