Displaying similar documents to “Parameters in collective decision making models : estimation and sensitivity”

Social network evolution and actor oriented models. Applications in the fields of friendship formation, decision making, emergence of cooperation, and coalition formation

Evelien P. H. Zeggelink (1997)

Mathématiques et Sciences Humaines

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We present an overview of different actor oriented models of network evolution, that have been developed in the last couple of years. The models are constructed in different fields of application and all have in common that the emergence of network structure is directly or indirectly of interest. Each model is based on a set of actors and a set of behavioral rules of these actors, resulting in interaction mechanisms and the coming into existence of some network pattern of relationships....

A model for credit scoring: an application of discriminant analysis.

Manuel Artís, Montserrat Guillén, José M.ª Martínez (1994)

Qüestiió

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The application of statistical techniques in decision making, and more specifically for classification requirements, has proved to be adequate in the context of financial problems. In this study, we present the methodology used and the results obtained in the elaboration of a decision-support system for credit assignment. The problem was to provide an automatic tool for a Spanish financial institution that needed to quantify and analyse credit applications from clients. Firstly, we shall...

Bayesian methods in hydrology: a review.

David Ríos Insua, Raquel Montes Díez, Jesús Palomo Martínez (2002)

RACSAM

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Hydrology and water resources management are inherently affected by uncertainty in many of their involved processes, including inflows, rainfall, water demand, evaporation, etc. Statistics plays, therefore, an essential role in their study. We review here some recent advances within Bayesian statistics and decision analysis which will have a profound impact in these fields.

A rainfall forecasting method using machine learning models and its application to the Fukuoka city case

S. Monira Sumi, M. Faisal Zaman, Hideo Hirose (2012)

International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science

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In the present article, an attempt is made to derive optimal data-driven machine learning methods for forecasting an average daily and monthly rainfall of the Fukuoka city in Japan. This comparative study is conducted concentrating on three aspects: modelling inputs, modelling methods and pre-processing techniques. A comparison between linear correlation analysis and average mutual information is made to find an optimal input technique. For the modelling of the rainfall, a novel hybrid...

On naive Bayes in speech recognition

László Tóth, András Kocsor, János Csirik (2005)

International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science

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The currently dominant speech recognition technology, hidden Mar-kov modeling, has long been criticized for its simplistic assumptions about speech, and especially for the naive Bayes combination rule inherent in it. Many sophisticated alternative models have been suggested over the last decade. These, however, have demonstrated only modest improvements and brought no paradigm shift in technology. The goal of this paper is to examine why HMM performs so well in spite of its incorrect...

Pattern-mixture models

Geert Molenberghs, Herbert Thijs, Bart Michiels, Geert Verbeke, Michael G. Kenward (2004)

Journal de la société française de statistique

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On the logical development of statistical models.

Daniel Peña (1988)

Trabajos de Estadística

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This paper presents a classification of statistical models using a simple and logical framework. Some remarks are made about the historical appearance of each type of model and the practical problems that motivated them. It is argued that the current stages of the statistical methodology for model building have arisen in response to the needs for more sophisticated procedures for building dynamic-explicative types of models. Some potentially important topics for future research are included. ...