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We have carried out a polysystem analysis of the population dynamics by using a variety
of hypotheses and their respective models based on different system interpretations of the
phenomenon under investigation. Each of the models supplements standard dynamic equations
for explaining the effects observed. A qualitative model-based analysis is made of the
age-specific male mortality for a Siberian industrial city. The study revealed the
tendencies...
This paper is concerned with the methods of mathematical modeling of the
socio-economic
development of regions. The objective of this study is to analyze and assess the
socio-economic
potential of the territory having regard to its individual socio-economic and
economic-geographical
characteristics. The territory's individual characteristics, in turn, are
treated as invariant
conditions of its development. The study territory includes regions and federal
districts of the
Russian Federation.
An...
This paper is an attempt to present and analyse stochastic mortality models. We propose a couple of continuous-time stochastic models that are natural generalizations of the Gompertz law in the sense that they reduce to the Gompertz function when the volatility parameter is zero. We provide a statistical analysis of the available demographic data to show that the models fit historical data well. Finally, we give some practical examples for the multidimensional models.
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