Ecological-Economic Model of the Region: Information Technology, Forecasting and Optimal Control

V. Gurman; V. Baturin

Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena (2009)

  • Volume: 4, Issue: 5, page 144-157
  • ISSN: 0973-5348

Abstract

top
The paper considers a methodology of mathematical modeling of ecological-economic processes at the regional level. The basis of the model is formed by equations, which describe two interacting blocks: economic and ecological ones. Equations of the economic block are represented by relations of generalized inter-branch balance, while the ecological part is described in terms of differential equations with deviations with respect to some given state of natural resources. Issues of i) information support of the model, ii) techniques used for identification of the coefficients, iii) scenario analysis and iv) forecasting are analyzed.

How to cite

top

Gurman, V., and Baturin, V.. "Ecological-Economic Model of the Region: Information Technology, Forecasting and Optimal Control." Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena 4.5 (2009): 144-157. <http://eudml.org/doc/222365>.

@article{Gurman2009,
abstract = { The paper considers a methodology of mathematical modeling of ecological-economic processes at the regional level. The basis of the model is formed by equations, which describe two interacting blocks: economic and ecological ones. Equations of the economic block are represented by relations of generalized inter-branch balance, while the ecological part is described in terms of differential equations with deviations with respect to some given state of natural resources. Issues of i) information support of the model, ii) techniques used for identification of the coefficients, iii) scenario analysis and iv) forecasting are analyzed. },
author = {Gurman, V., Baturin, V.},
journal = {Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena},
keywords = {ecological-economic processes; mathematical modelling; information support; regional systems; forecasting; optimal control; information support},
language = {eng},
month = {10},
number = {5},
pages = {144-157},
publisher = {EDP Sciences},
title = {Ecological-Economic Model of the Region: Information Technology, Forecasting and Optimal Control},
url = {http://eudml.org/doc/222365},
volume = {4},
year = {2009},
}

TY - JOUR
AU - Gurman, V.
AU - Baturin, V.
TI - Ecological-Economic Model of the Region: Information Technology, Forecasting and Optimal Control
JO - Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena
DA - 2009/10//
PB - EDP Sciences
VL - 4
IS - 5
SP - 144
EP - 157
AB - The paper considers a methodology of mathematical modeling of ecological-economic processes at the regional level. The basis of the model is formed by equations, which describe two interacting blocks: economic and ecological ones. Equations of the economic block are represented by relations of generalized inter-branch balance, while the ecological part is described in terms of differential equations with deviations with respect to some given state of natural resources. Issues of i) information support of the model, ii) techniques used for identification of the coefficients, iii) scenario analysis and iv) forecasting are analyzed.
LA - eng
KW - ecological-economic processes; mathematical modelling; information support; regional systems; forecasting; optimal control; information support
UR - http://eudml.org/doc/222365
ER -

References

top
  1. A.K. Ailamazyan, Ed. Interaction between nature and the Baikal region economy. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1981.  
  2. V.A. Baturin, A.I. Moskalenko, S.N. Vassilyev. Development of methods of transformation of mathematical models of optimal control. Gordon Breach, 1(1999), 85–93.  
  3. V.A. Baturin, D.E. Urbanovich. Approximate methods of optimal control based on the extension principle. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1997.  
  4. V.A. Baturin, Ed. Modeling and assessment of the state of medical-ecological-economic systems. Novosibirsk, SB of RAS Publ., 2005.  
  5. V.A. Baturin, I.I. Dumova, A.K. Tulokhonov, S.N. Vassilyev. Modelling the processes of the region development. In: The present and future state of the Baikal Region (possibilities for sustainable development), Part III: Perspectives on sustainable development. Novosibirsk, SB of RAS (1994), 48–51.  
  6. V.A. Baturin, S.N. Vassilyev, A.V. Lakeyev, A.I. Moskalenko, I.I. Dumova. Ecological-economic models of the Lake Baikal region development. Sustainable development of the Lake Baikal region (V.A. Koptyug, M. Uppenbrink eds.), NATO ASI Series. 2. Environment. Berlin-Heidelberg, Springer-Verlag, 6(1996), 229–241.  
  7. V.V. Bufal, V.I. Gurman, Eds. Ecological-economic strategy of regional development. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1990.  
  8. A.N. Dukalov, A.E. Ilutovich. Asymptotic properties of optimal trajectories of economical dynamics. Avtomatika y telemechanika (1975), No. 5—6.  
  9. V.A. Egorov, Yu.N. Kalistratov, V.B. Mitrofanov, A.A. Piontkovsky. Mathematical models of global development. Leningrad, Hydrmeteoizdat, 1980.  
  10. K. Fedra, M. Kubat. Hybrid GIS and remote sensing in environmental applications. RR-93-20, Laxenburg, IIASA (1993 a).  
  11. K. Fedra, E. Weigkricht, L. Winkelbauer. Decision support and information systems for regional development. RR-93-13, Laxenburg, IIASA (1993 b).  
  12. J. Forrester. Foundations of cybernetics of an eneterprise. Moscow, Progress, 1971.  
  13. J. Forrester. World dynamics. New York, 1971.  
  14. A.M. Galkin, Ed. Dynamics of ecological-economic systems. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1981.  
  15. V.A. Gelovany, V.A. Egorov, A.A. Piontkovsky. Solvig one control problem for Forrester's global dynamic model. Moscow, Inst. Applied mathematics, the USSR Academy of sciences, 1974, Preprint No. 56.  
  16. V.I. Gurman, A.I. Moskalenko, Eds. Modeling processes in natural-economic systems. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1982.  
  17. V.I. Gurman, A.I. Moskalenko, Eds. Optimal control of natural-economic systems. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1980.  
  18. V.I. Gurman, A.K. Cherkashin, Eds. Models and methods for assessment of anthropogenic changes in geosystems. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1986.  
  19. V.I. Gurman, E.V. Danilina, G.N. Konstantinov et al. Application of mathematical models for elaboration of the General conception of development of the industrial potential of the Baikal region. Natural Resourse Management in the Baikal Lake region, Irkutsk, Institute of Geography, SB of the USSR Acad. Sci. (1988), 18–34.  
  20. V.I. Gurman, E.V. Ryumina, Eds. Modeling socio-ecological-economic system of a region. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 2001.  
  21. V.I. Gurman, Ed. Application of mathematical models to analysis of ecological-economic systems. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1988.  
  22. V.I. Gurman, Ed. Models of control of natural resources. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1981.  
  23. V.I. Gurman, Ed. Systems investigations of interaction between nature and the Baikal region economy. Irkutsk, Irkutsk State Univ. Publ., 1986.  
  24. V.I. Gurman, G.N. Konstantinov, Eds. Planning and forecasting for natural-economic systems. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1984.  
  25. V.I. Gurman, I.P. Druzhinin, Eds. Models of natural systems. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1978.  
  26. V.I. Gurman, L.Yu. Dameshek, Eds. Ecological-economic systems: models, information, experiment. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1987.  
  27. V.I. Gurman, V.A. Baturin, E.V. Danilina et al. New methods of improvement of control processes. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1987.  
  28. V.I. Gurman. The principle of extension in control problems. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1987.  
  29. Yu.A. Izrael. Ecology and control of the state of natural environment. Moscow, Hydrometeoizdat, Moscow Intitution, 1984.  
  30. G.N. Konstantinov. Normalization of impacts on dynamic systems. Irkutsk, Irkutsk Univ. Publ., 1983.  
  31. V.A. Koptyug. Siberia — problems of ecological policy and sustainable development. Main materials of the plenary session of the All-Russian Conf. on ecological development of Siberia, Novosibirsk (1993), 88–109.  
  32. V.A. Koptyug. UN Conference on the natural environment and Development (Rio de Janeiro, July, 1992). Information Survey, Novosibirsk (1993).  
  33. B. Korb, P. Nachilhaut. Economic stimulus for protection of natural environment of the USA. Economics and mathematical methods, 28(1992), No. 5–6, 754–761.  
  34. V.V. Kozlov. Development and identification of a nonstationary mathematical model of distribution of pollutants in the water object. Preprint No. 1, Institute for Systems Dynamics and Control Theory, 2006, No. 1.  
  35. V.F. Krapivin, Yu.M. Svirezhev, A.M. Tarko. Mathematical modeling of global biospheric processes. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1982.  
  36. V.F. Krotov, V.I. Gurman. Methods and problems of optimal control. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1969.  
  37. V. Leontyev, Ed. The future of world economy. Report of a Team of UN Experts headed by V. Leontyev. Moscow, Mezhdunarodniye Otnosheniya, 1979.  
  38. G.I. Marchuk. Mathematical modeling for the problems of natural environment. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1982.  
  39. D.L. Meadows. Dynamics of growth in a finite world. Cambridge, Mass., Whright Allen Press, Inc., 1974.  
  40. D.H. Medows, D.L. Medows, J. Randers. Beyond the limits of growth. Moscow, Progress — Pangea, 1994.  
  41. N.N. Moiseyev, V.V. Alexandrov, A.M. Tarko et al. Man and biosphere. The experience of systems analysis and experiments with models. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1985.  
  42. N.N. Moissetev, Yu.M. Svirezhev, V.F. Krapivin et al. Computer implementation of a global biospheric model. Voprosy matematicheskogo modelirovaniya, Moscow, Inst. of Regional Economy, the USSR Acad. Sci. (1979), 333–369.  
  43. A.I. Moskalenko. Methods of nonlinear maps in optimal control. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1983.  
  44. H. Nikhaido. Convex structures and mathematical economics. Moscow, Mir Publ., 1972.  
  45. V.D. Stepanenko, Ed. Problems of ecological monitoring and modeling of the ecosystem / State committee of the USSR on hydrometeorology and control of the State of natural environment and climate. Leningrad, Hydrometeoizdat, Vol. 3, 1980.  
  46. Yu.M. Svirezhev, Ed. Mathematical modeling of processes in biogeocenoses. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1985.  
  47. E.A. Tsvetova. A numerical model of dynamics and thermal regime of Lake Baikal. Mathematical models of circulation of the ocean, Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ. (1980), 256–272.  
  48. S.N. Vassilyev, Ed. Modeling and control of regional development processes. Moscow, Nauka, Physmathlit, 2001.  
  49. V.I. Vernadsky. A scientific idea as a planetary phenomenon. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1991.  
  50. V.I. Vernadsky. Philosophical ideas of a naturalist. Moscow, 1988.  
  51. V.E. Vikulov. The regyme of special nature management: an example of Lake Baikal. Novosibirsk, Nauka Publ., 1982.  
  52. I.I. Volovich, Ed. Rational usage of water resources of the basin of the Azov Sea. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1981.  

NotesEmbed ?

top

You must be logged in to post comments.

To embed these notes on your page include the following JavaScript code on your page where you want the notes to appear.

Only the controls for the widget will be shown in your chosen language. Notes will be shown in their authored language.

Tells the widget how many notes to show per page. You can cycle through additional notes using the next and previous controls.

    
                

Note: Best practice suggests putting the JavaScript code just before the closing </body> tag.