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Displaying similar documents to “Semi-Markov reliability models with recurrence times and credit rating applications.”

Survival probabilities for HIV infected patients through semi-Markov processes

Giovanni Masala, Giuseppina Cannas, Marco Micocci (2014)

Biometrical Letters

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In this paper we apply a parametric semi-Markov process to model the dynamic evolution of HIV-1 infected patients. The seriousness of the infection is rendered by the CD4+ T-lymphocyte counts. For this purpose we introduce the main features of nonhomogeneous semi-Markov models. After determining the transition probabilities and the waiting time distributions in each state of the disease, we solve the evolution equations of the process in order to estimate the interval transition probabilities....

Bottom-up modeling of domestic appliances with Markov chains and semi-Markov processes

Rajmund Drenyovszki, Lóránt Kovács, Kálmán Tornai, András Oláh, István Pintér (2017)

Kybernetika

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In our paper we investigate the applicability of independent and identically distributed random sequences, first order Markov and higher order Markov chains as well as semi-Markov processes for bottom-up electricity load modeling. We use appliance time series from publicly available data sets containing fine grained power measurements. The comparison of models are based on metrics which are supposed to be important in power systems like Load Factor, Loss of Load Probability. Furthermore,...

Single-use reliability computation of a semi-Markovian system

Guglielmo D'Amico (2014)

Applications of Mathematics

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Markov chain usage models were successfully used to model systems and software. The most prominent approaches are the so-called failure state models Whittaker and Thomason (1994) and the arc-based Bayesian models Sayre and Poore (2000). In this paper we propose arc-based semi-Markov usage models to test systems. We extend previous studies that rely on the Markov chain assumption to the more general semi-Markovian setting. Among the obtained results we give a closed form representation...

A generalization of Ueno's inequality for n-step transition probabilities

Andrzej Nowak (1998)

Applicationes Mathematicae

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We provide a generalization of Ueno's inequality for n-step transition probabilities of Markov chains in a general state space. Our result is relevant to the study of adaptive control problems and approximation problems in the theory of discrete-time Markov decision processes and stochastic games.

The expected cumulative operational time for finite semi-Markov systems and estimation

Brahim Ouhbi, Ali Boudi, Mohamed Tkiouat (2007)

RAIRO - Operations Research

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In this paper we, firstly, present a recursive formula of the empirical estimator of the semi-Markov kernel. Then a non-parametric estimator of the expected cumulative operational time for semi-Markov systems is proposed. The asymptotic properties of this estimator, as the uniform strongly consistency and normality are given. As an illustration example, we give a numerical application.

On the exchanges between Wolfgang Doeblin and Bohuslav Hostinský

Laurent Mazliak (2007)

Revue d'histoire des mathématiques

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We present the letters sent by Wolfgang Doeblin to Bohuslav Hostinský between 1936 and 1938. They concern some aspects of the general theory of Markov chains and the solutions of the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation that Doeblin was then establishing for his PhD thesis.