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Displaying similar documents to “Optimal alternative robustness in Bayesian Decision Theory.”

On the foundations of statistics and decision theory.

José M. Bernardo, Javier Girón (1983)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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An elementary axiomatic foundation for decision theory is presented at a general enough level to cover standard applications of Bayesian methods. The intuitive meaning of both axioms and results is stressed. It is argued that statistical inference is a particular decision problem to which the axiomatic argument fully applies.

Quasi-Bayesian behaviour: a more realistic approach to decision making?

Francisco Javier Girón, Sixto Ríos (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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In this paper the theoretical and practical implications of dropping -from the basic Bayesian coherence principles- the assumption of comparability of every pair of acts is examined. The resulting theory is shown to be still perfectly coherent and has Bayesian theory as a particular case. In particular we question the need of weakening or ruling out some of the axioms that constitute the coherence principles; what are their practical implications; how this drive to the notion of partial...

Overcoming priors anxiety.

G. D'AGOSTINI (1999)

Revista de la Real Academia de Ciencias Exactas Físicas y Naturales

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Foundations of subjective probability and decision making: Discussion.

Irving John Good, Ludovico Piccinato, Cesáreo Villegas, James M. Dickey, Morris H. DeGroot, Donald A. S. Fraser, Simon French, Dennis V. Lindley (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Discussion on the papers by Girón, F. J. and Ríos, S., Quasi-Bayesian behaviour: a more realistic approach to dicision making? and by Hill, B. M., On finite additivity, non-conglomerability and statistical paradoxes, both of them part of a round table on Foundations of Subjective Probability and Decision Making held in the First International Congress on Bayesian Methods (Valencia, Spain, 28 May - 2 June 1979).

Personal and inter-personal ethics: Discussion.

Dennis V. Lindley, Allan M. Skene, José M. Bernardo, Morris H. DeGroot, Irving John Good, Anthony O'Hagan (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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Discussion on the papers by Savage, I. Richard, On not being rational and by Kadane, Joseph B. and Sedransj, Nell, Toward a more ethical clinical trial, both of them part of a round table on Personal and inter-personal ethics held in the First International Congress on Bayesian Methods (Valencia, Spain, 28 May - 2 June 1979).

On not being rational.

I. Richard Savage (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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A Bayesian decision-theoretic approach appears to me as a sensible idealization of a guide to behaviour. At the same time i would like to understand why my behaviour is not always of this form: I sometimes use randomization and I sometimes find confidence intervals acceptable. Not all of my problems have an explicit cost function. Am I lazy or irrational? Do I use non-Bayesian conventions to help communicate? Is the cost of rationality-computation missing from the Bayesian model? ...

Discontinuity, decision and conflict.

P. J. Harrison, Jim Q. Smith (1980)

Trabajos de Estadística e Investigación Operativa

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The motivation for this paper arises out of the authors experiences in modelling real decision makers where the decisions show not only a continuous response to a continuously changing environment but also sudden or discontinuous changes. The theoretical basis involves a parametric characterisation of the environment, a decision makers perception of it in terms of a twice differentiable Distribution Function and a bounded Loss Function. Under a specified minimizing dynamic, the resultant...