Sur une théorie informationnelle de l'observation pour des événements de nature probabiliste
We introduce the concept of total coherence of a set-valued probability assessment on a family of conditional events. In particular we give sufficient and necessary conditions of total coherence in the case of interval-valued probability assessments. Some relevant cases in which the set-valued probability assessment is represented by the unitary hypercube are also considered.
The influence of “Grundbegriffe” by A. N. Kolmogorov (published in 1933) on education in the area of probability and its impact on research in stochastics cannot be overestimated. We would like to point out three aspects of the classical probability theory “calling for“ an upgrade: (i) classical random events are black-and-white (Boolean); (ii) classical random variables do not model quantum phenomena; (iii) basic maps (probability measures and observables – dual maps to random variables) have very...