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Survival probabilities of autoregressive processes

Christoph Baumgarten (2014)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

Given an autoregressive process X of order p (i.e. Xn = a1Xn−1 + ··· + apXn−p + Yn where the random variables Y1, Y2,... are i.i.d.), we study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the process does not exceed a constant barrier up to time N (survival or persistence probability). Depending on the coefficients a1,..., ap and the distribution of Y1, we state conditions under which the survival probability decays polynomially, faster than polynomially or converges to a positive constant....

T -law of large numbers for fuzzy numbers

Andrea Marková-Stupňanová (2000)

Kybernetika

The notions of a t -norm and of a fuzzy number are recalled. The law of large numbers for fuzzy numbers is defined. The fuzzy numbers, for which the law of large numbers holds, are investigated. The case when the law of large numbers is violated is studied.

Tail probability and singularity of Laplace-Stieltjes transform of a Pareto type random variable

Kenji Nakagawa (2015)

Applications of Mathematics

We give a sufficient condition for a non-negative random variable X to be of Pareto type by investigating the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the cumulative distribution function. We focus on the relation between the singularity at the real point of the axis of convergence and the asymptotic decay of the tail probability. For the proof of our theorems, we apply Graham-Vaaler’s complex Tauberian theorem. As an application of our theorems, we consider the asymptotic decay of the stationary distribution...

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