Sequential confidence intervals based on robust estimators
Durations of rain events and drought events over a given region provide important information about the water resources of the region. Of particular interest is the shape of upper tails of the probability distributions of such durations. Recent research suggests that the underlying probability distributions of such durations have heavy tails of hyperbolic type, across a wide range of spatial scales from 2 km to 120 km. These findings are based on radar measurements of spatially averaged rain rate...
We address the problem of estimating quantile-based statistical functionals, when the measured or controlled entities depend on exogenous variables which are not under our control. As a suitable tool we propose the empirical process of the average regression quantiles. It partially masks the effect of covariates and has other properties convenient for applications, e.g. for coherent risk measures of various types in the situations with covariates.
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