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A class of unbiased kernel estimates of a probability density function

Tomasz Rychlik (1995)

Applicationes Mathematicae

We propose a class of unbiased and strongly consistent nonparametric kernel estimates of a probability density function, based on a random choice of the sample size and the kernel function. The expected sample size can be arbitrarily small and mild conditions on the local behavior of the density function are imposed.

Accelerated Monte Carlo estimation of exceedance probabilities under monotonicity constraints

Nicolas Bousquet (2012)

Annales de la faculté des sciences de Toulouse Mathématiques

The problem of estimating the probability p = P ( g ( X ) 0 ) is considered when X represents a multivariate stochastic input of a monotonic function g . First, a heuristic method to bound p , originally proposed by de Rocquigny (2009), is formally described, involving a specialized design of numerical experiments. Then a statistical estimation of p is considered based on a sequential stochastic exploration of the input space. A maximum likelihood estimator of p build from successive dependent Bernoulli data is defined...

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