Complete polynomial vector fields in simplexes with application to evolutionary dynamics.
National policies regarding the BCG vaccine for tuberculosis vary greatly throughout the international community and several countries are currently considering discontinuing universal vaccination. Detractors of BCG point to its uncertain effectiveness and its interference with the detection and treatment of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI). In order to quantify the trade-off between vaccination and treatment of LTBI, a mathematical model was designed and calibrated to data from Brazil, Ghana,...
A model which consists of a predator and two prey species is presented. The prey compete for the same limited resource (food). The predator preys on both prey species but with different severity. We show that the coexistence of all three species is possible in a mean-field approach, whereas from Monte Carlo simulation it follows that the stochastic fluctuations drive one of the prey populations into extinction.
In this paper, with the assumptions that an infectious disease has a fixed latent period in a population and the latent individuals of the population may disperse, we reformulate an SIR model for the population living in two patches (cities, towns, or countries etc.), which is a generalization of the classic Kermack-McKendrick SIR model. The model is given by a system of delay differential equations with a fixed delay accounting for the latency and non-local terms caused by the mobility of the...