The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with the dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with an unknown distribution. An example of such a noise is a non-Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process with jumps (see (J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. B Stat. Methodol.63 (2001) 167–241), (Ann. Appl. Probab.18 (2008) 879–908)). An adaptive model selection procedure, based on the weighted least square estimates, is...

We consider the problem of estimating the mean $f$ of a Gaussian vector $Y$ with independent components of common unknown variance ${\sigma }^2$. Our estimation procedure is based on estimator selection. More precisely, we start with an arbitrary and possibly infinite collection $𝔽$ of estimators of $f$ based on $Y$ and, with the same data $Y$, aim at selecting an estimator among $𝔽$ with the smallest Euclidean risk. No assumptions on the estimators are made and their dependencies with respect to $Y$ may be unknown. We establish...