A new class of semi-parametric estimators of the second order parameter.
The classical quantile approximation for the sample mean, based on the central limit theorem, has been proved to fail when the sample size is small and we approach the tail of the distribution. In this paper we will develop a second order approximation formula for the quantile which improves the classical one under heavy tails underlying distributions, and performs very accurately in the upper tail of the distribution even for relatively small samples.
In this paper we consider a new class of consistent semi-parametric estimators of a negative extreme value index, based on the set of the k largest observations. This class of estimators depends on a control or tuning parameter, which enables us to have access to an estimator with a null second-order component of asymptotic bias, and with a rather interesting mean squared error, as a function of k. We study the consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators. Their finite sample...
It has been known for a long time that for bootstrapping the distribution of the extremes under the traditional linear normalization of a sample consistently, the bootstrap sample size needs to be of smaller order than the original sample size. In this paper, we show that the same is true if we use the bootstrap for estimating a central, or an intermediate quantile under power normalization. A simulation study illustrates and corroborates theoretical results.
We give characterization conditions for the inverse Weibull distribution and generalized extreme value distributions by moments of kth record values.
We characterize uniform and exponential distributions via moments of the kth record statistics. Too and Lin's (1989) results are contained in our approach.
In this article, we begin with an asymptotic comparison at optimal levels of the so-called "maximum likelihood" (ML) extreme value index estimator, based on the excesses over a high random threshold, denoted PORT-ML, with PORT standing for peaks over random thresholds, with a similar ML estimator, denoted PORT-MP, with MP standing for modified-Pareto. The PORT-MP estimator is based on the same excesses, but with a trial of accommodation of bias on the Generalized Pareto model underlying those excesses....
In this research, strong convergence properties of the tail probability for weighted sums of negatively orthant dependent random variables are discussed. Some sharp theorems for weighted sums of arrays of rowwise negatively orthant dependent random variables are established. These results not only extend the corresponding ones of Cai [4], Wang et al. [19] and Shen [13], but also improve them, respectively.
In this paper, we propose two estimators for a heavy tailed MA(1) process. The first is a semi parametric estimator designed for MA(1) driven by positive-value stable variables innovations. We study its asymptotic normality and finite sample performance. We compare the behavior of this estimator in which we use the Hill estimator for the extreme index and the estimator in which we use the t-Hill in order to examine its robustness. The second estimator is for MA(1) driven by stable variables innovations...
The P.O.T. method (Peaks Over Threshold) consists in using the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) as an approximation for the distribution of excesses over a high threshold. In this work, we use a refinement of this approximation in order to estimate second order parameters of the model using the method of probability-weighted moments (PWM): in particular, this leads to the introduction of a new estimator for the second order parameter ρ, which will be compared to other recent estimators through...
The P.O.T. method (Peaks Over Threshold) consists in using the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) as an approximation for the distribution of excesses over a high threshold. In this work, we use a refinement of this approximation in order to estimate second order parameters of the model using the method of probability-weighted moments (PWM): in particular, this leads to the introduction of a new estimator for the second order parameter ρ, which will be compared to other recent estimators through...
The minimum variance linear unbiased estimators (MVLUE), the best linear invariant estimators (BLIE) and the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) based on m selected kth record values are presented for the parameters of the Gumbel and Burr distributions.
Classical extreme value methods were derived when the underlying process is assumed to be a sequence of independent random variables. However when observations are taken along the time and/or the space the independence is an unrealistic assumption. A parameter that arises in this situation, characterizing the degree of local dependence in the extremes of a stationary series, is the extremal index, θ. In several areas such as hydrology, telecommunications, finance and environment, for example, the...