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The "Thirty-seven Percent Rule" and the secretary problem with relative ranks

Béla Bajnok, Svetoslav Semov (2014)

Discussiones Mathematicae Probability and Statistics

We revisit the problem of selecting an item from n choices that appear before us in random sequential order so as to minimize the expected rank of the item selected. In particular, we examine the stopping rule where we reject the first k items and then select the first subsequent item that ranks lower than the l-th lowest-ranked item among the first k. We prove that the optimal rule has k ~ n/e, as in the classical secretary problem where our sole objective is to select the item of lowest rank;...

Time-homogeneous diffusions with a given marginal at a random time

Alexander M. G. Cox, David Hobson, Jan Obłój (2011)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

We solve explicitly the following problem: for a given probability measure μ, we specify a generalised martingale diffusion (Xt) which, stopped at an independent exponential time T, is distributed according to μ. The process (Xt) is specified via its speed measure m. We present two heuristic arguments and three proofs. First we show how the result can be derived from the solution of [Bertoin and Le Jan, Ann. Probab. 20 (1992) 538–548.] to the Skorokhod embedding problem. Secondly, we give a proof...

Time-homogeneous diffusions with a given marginal at a random time

Alexander M.G. Cox, David Hobson, Jan Obłój (2011)

ESAIM: Probability and Statistics

We solve explicitly the following problem: for a given probability measure μ, we specify a generalised martingale diffusion (Xt) which, stopped at an independent exponential time T, is distributed according to μ. The process (Xt) is specified via its speed measure m. We present two heuristic arguments and three proofs. First we show how the result can be derived from the solution of [Bertoin and Le Jan, Ann. Probab.20 (1992) 538–548.] to the Skorokhod embedding problem. Secondly, we give...

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