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Inferring the residual waiting time for binary stationary time series

Gusztáv Morvai, Benjamin Weiss (2014)

Kybernetika

For a binary stationary time series define σ n to be the number of consecutive ones up to the first zero encountered after time n , and consider the problem of estimating the conditional distribution and conditional expectation of σ n after one has observed the first n outputs. We present a sequence of stopping times and universal estimators for these quantities which are pointwise consistent for all ergodic binary stationary processes. In case the process is a renewal process with zero the renewal state...

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