Identification of an unstable ARMA equation.
Fisher's test of periodicity in time series and Siegel's version of this test for compound periodicities are investigated in the paper. An improvement increasing the power of the test is suggested and demonstrated by means of numerical simulations.
Se estudia el problema de inversión en un mercado en donde las rentabilidades aleatorias de los títulos satisfacen una relación temporal con rentabilidades anteriores y las interrelaciones vendrán dadas a través de unos índices, uno común a todos los títulos y otro específico del sector en que pueda incluirse cada título.
For a binary stationary time series define to be the number of consecutive ones up to the first zero encountered after time , and consider the problem of estimating the conditional distribution and conditional expectation of after one has observed the first outputs. We present a sequence of stopping times and universal estimators for these quantities which are pointwise consistent for all ergodic binary stationary processes. In case the process is a renewal process with zero the renewal state...
It is proved that Hannan's procedure for statistical test of periodicity in the case of time series with dependent observations can be combined with Siegel's improvement of the classical Fischer's test of periodicity. Simulations performed in the paper show that this combination can increase the power of Hannan's test when at least two periodicities are present in the time series with dependent observations.