It is shown that a popular variable choice method of Hellwig, which is recommended in the Polish econometric textbooks does not enjoy a very basic consistency property. It means in particular that the method may lead to rejection of significant variables in econometric modeling. A simulation study and a real data analysis case are given to support theoretical results.
Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) estimators are a popular tool in econometrics since introduced by Hansen (1982), because this approach provides feasible solutions for many problems present in economic data where least squares or maximum likelihood methods fail when naively applied. These problems may arise in errors-in-variable regression, estimation of labor demand curves, and asset pricing in finance, which are discussed here. In this paper we study a GMM estimator for the rank modelingapproach...
Min-stable multivariate exponential (MSMVE) distributions constitute an important family of distributions, among others due to their relation to extreme-value distributions. Being true multivariate exponential models, they also represent a natural choicewhen modeling default times in credit portfolios. Despite being well-studied on an abstract level, the number of known parametric families is small. Furthermore, for most families only implicit stochastic representations are known. The present paper...
We establish rates of convergences in statistical learning for time series forecasting. Using the PAC-Bayesian approach, slow rates of convergence √ d/n for the Gibbs estimator under the absolute loss were given in a previous work [7], where n is the sample size and d the dimension of the set of predictors. Under the same weak dependence conditions, we extend this result to any convex Lipschitz loss function. We also identify a condition on the parameter space that ensures similar rates for the...
The cross-covariance matrix of observation vectors in two linear statistical models need not be zero matrix. In such a case the problem is to find explicit expressions for the best linear unbiased estimators of both model parameters and estimators of variance components in the simplest structure of the covariance matrix. Univariate and multivariate forms of linear models are dealt with.
We propose a sequential monitoring scheme for detecting a change in scale. We consider a stable historical period of length . The goal is to propose a test with asymptotically small probability of false alarm and power 1 as the length of the historical period tends to infinity. The asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis and consistency under the alternative hypothesis is derived. A small simulation study illustrates the finite sample performance of the monitoring scheme.
Highly robust statistical and econometric methods have been developed not only as a diagnostic tool for standard methods, but they can be also used as self-standing methods for valid inference. Therefore the robust methods need to be equipped by their own diagnostic tools. This paper describes diagnostics for robust estimation of parameters in two econometric models derived from the linear regression. Both methods are special cases of the generalized method of moments estimator based on implicit...
Regression and scale invariant -test procedures are developed for detection of structural changes in linear regression model. Their limit properties are studied under the null hypothesis.