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Dynamic model of market with uninformed market maker

Martin Šmíd, Miloš Kopa (2017)

Kybernetika

We model a market with multiple liquidity takers and a single market maker maximizing his discounted consumption while keeping a prescribed probability of bankruptcy. We show that, given this setting, spread and price bias (a difference between the midpoint- and the expected fair price) depend solely on the MM's inventory and his uncertainty concerning the fair price. Tested on ten-second data from ten US electronic markets, our model gives significant results with the price bias decreasing in the...

Dynamic programming for an investment/consumption problem in illiquid markets with regime-switching

Paul Gassiat, Fausto Gozzi, Huyên Pham (2015)

Banach Center Publications

We consider an illiquid financial market with different regimes modeled by a continuous time finite-state Markov chain. The investor can trade a stock only at the discrete arrival times of a Cox process with intensity depending on the market regime. Moreover, the risky asset price is subject to liquidity shocks, which change its rate of return and volatility, and induce jumps on its dynamics. In this setting, we study the problem of an economic agent optimizing her expected utility from consumption...

Dynamic term structure modelling with default and mortality risk: new results on existence and monotonicity

Thorsten Schmidt, Stefan Tappe (2015)

Banach Center Publications

This paper considers dynamic term structure models like the ones appearing in portfolio credit risk modelling or life insurance. We study general forward rate curves driven by infinitely many Brownian motions and an integer-valued random measure, generalizing existing approaches in the literature. A precise characterization of absence of arbitrage in such markets is given in terms of a suitable criterion for no asymptotic free lunch (NAFL). From this, we obtain drift conditions which are equivalent...

Elementary Introduction to Stochastic Finance in Discrete Time

Peter Jaeger (2012)

Formalized Mathematics

This article gives an elementary introduction to stochastic finance (in discrete time). A formalization of random variables is given and some elements of Borel sets are considered. Furthermore, special functions (for buying a present portfolio and the value of a portfolio in the future) and some statements about the relation between these functions are introduced. For details see: [8] (p. 185), [7] (pp. 12, 20), [6] (pp. 3-6).

Entry-exit decisions with implementation delay under uncertainty

Yong-Chao Zhang (2018)

Applications of Mathematics

We employ a natural method from the perspective of the optimal stopping theory to analyze entry-exit decisions with implementation delay of a project, and provide closed expressions for optimal entry decision times, optimal exit decision times, and the maximal expected present value of the project. The results in conventional research were obtained under the restriction that the sum of the entry cost and exit cost is nonnegative. In practice, we may meet cases when this sum is negative, so it is...

Fractional virus epidemic model on financial networks

Mehmet Ali Balci (2016)

Open Mathematics

In this study, we present an epidemic model that characterizes the behavior of a financial network of globally operating stock markets. Since the long time series have a global memory effect, we represent our model by using the fractional calculus. This model operates on a network, where vertices are the stock markets and edges are constructed by the correlation distances. Thereafter, we find an analytical solution to commensurate system and use the well-known differential transform method to obtain...

Indifference valuation in incomplete binomial models

M. Musiela, E. Sokolova, T. Zariphopoulou (2010)

MathematicS In Action

The indifference valuation problem in incomplete binomial models is analyzed. The model is more general than the ones studied so far, because the stochastic factor, which generates the market incompleteness, may affect the transition propabilities and/or the values of the traded asset as well as the claim’s payoff. Two pricing algorithms are constructed which use, respectively, the minimal martingale and the minimal entropy measures. We study in detail the interplay among the different kinds of...

Malliavin method for optimal investment in financial markets with memory

Qiguang An, Guoqing Zhao, Gaofeng Zong (2016)

Open Mathematics

We consider a financial market with memory effects in which wealth processes are driven by mean-field stochastic Volterra equations. In this financial market, the classical dynamic programming method can not be used to study the optimal investment problem, because the solution of mean-field stochastic Volterra equation is not a Markov process. In this paper, a new method through Malliavin calculus introduced in [1], can be used to obtain the optimal investment in a Volterra type financial market....

Normality assumption for the log-return of the stock prices

Pedro P. Mota (2012)

Discussiones Mathematicae Probability and Statistics

The normality of the log-returns for the price of the stocks is one of the most important assumptions in mathematical finance. Usually is assumed that the price dynamics of the stocks are driven by geometric Brownian motion and, in that case, the log-return of the prices are independent and normally distributed. For instance, for the Black-Scholes model and for the Black-Scholes pricing formula [4] this is one of the main assumptions. In this paper we will investigate if this assumption is verified...

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