The paper discusses the implementation of the Newton-Raphson iterative method of estimation of parameters in the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models. The efficiency of this method has been compared with other well known methods of estimation.
The autocorrelation function has a very important role in several application areas involving stochastic processes. In fact, it assumes the theoretical base for Spectral analysis, ARMA (and generalizations) modeling, detection, etc. However and as it is well known, the results obtained with the more current estimates of the autocorrelation function (biased or not) are frequently bad, even when we have access to a large number of points. On the other hand, in some applications, we need to perform...
In what concerns extreme values modeling, heavy tailed autoregressive processes defined with the minimum or maximum operator have proved to be good alternatives to classical linear ARMA with heavy tailed marginals (Davis and Resnick [8], Ferreira and Canto e Castro [13]). In this paper we present a complete characterization of the tail behavior of the autoregressive Pareto process known as Yeh-Arnold-Robertson Pareto(III) (Yeh et al. [32]). We shall see that it is quite similar to the first order...
The aim of this work is to analyze suitability of existing internet multimedia storage services to use as a covert (steganographic) transmission channel. After general overview we focus specifically on the YouTube service. In particular, we study the feasibility of the recently proposed new steganographic technique [6] of hiding information directly in the structure of the mp4-encoded video file. Our statistical analysis of the set of 1000 video files stored by this service show the practical limitations...
Discrete autoregressive process of the first order is considered. The process is observed at unequally spaced time instants. Both least squares estimate and maximum likelihood estimate of the autocorrelation coefficient are analyzed. We show some dangers related with the estimates when the true value of the autocorrelation coefficient is small. Monte-Carlo method is used to illustrate the problems.
The periodic autoregressive process with non-vanishing mean and with exogenous variables is investigated in the paper. It is assumed that the model has also periodic variances. The statistical analysis is based on the Bayes approach with a vague prior density. Estimators of the parameters and asymptotic tests of hypotheses are derived.
Periodic moving average processes are representatives of the class of periodic models suitable for the description of some seasonal time series and for the construction of multivariate moving average models. The attention having been lately concentrated mainly on periodic autoregressions, some methods of statistical analysis of the periodic moving average processes are suggested in the paper. These methods include the estimation procedure (based on Durbin's construction of the parameter estimators...
In this paper we obtain root-n consistency and functional central limit theorems in weighted L1-spaces for plug-in estimators of the two-step transition density in the classical stationary linear autoregressive model of order one, assuming essentially only that the innovation density has bounded variation. We also show that plugging in a properly weighted residual-based kernel estimator for the unknown innovation density improves on plugging in an unweighted residual-based kernel estimator....
We study estimation problems for periodically correlated, non gaussian processes. We estimate the correlation functions and the spectral densities from continuous-time samples. From a random time sample, we construct three types of estimators for the spectral densities and we prove their consistency.