A new adaptive local linear prediction method and its application in hydrological time series.
A variant of gravitational classification
In this article there is proposed a new two-parametrical variant of the gravitational classification method. We use the general idea of objects' behavior in a gravity field. Classification depends on a test object's motion in a gravity field of training points. To solve this motion problem, we use a simulation method. This classifier is compared to the 1NN method, because our method tends towards it for some parameter values. Experimental results on different data sets demonstrate an improvement...
An algorithm for nonharmonic signal analysis using Dirichlet series on convex polygons.
Aplicación de redes neuronales artificiales a la previsión de series temporales no estacionarias o no invertibles.
En los últimos tiempos se ha comprobado un aumento del interés en la aplicación de las Redes Neuronales Artificiales a la previsión de series temporales, intentando explotar las indudables ventajas de estas herramientas. En este artículo se calculan previsiones de series no estacionarias o no invertibles, que presentan dificultades cuando se intentan pronosticar utilizando la metodología ARIMA de Box-Jenkins. Las ventajas de la aplicación de redes neuronales se aprecian con más claridad, cuando...
Applications of regime-switching models based on aggregation operators
A synthesis of recent development of regime-switching models based on aggregation operators is presented. It comprises procedures for model specification and identification, parameter estimation and model adequacy testing. Constructions of models for real life data from hydrology and finance are presented.
Assessing local turbulence strength from a time series.
Chaotic patterns in aeroelastic signals.
Chaotic time series analysis.
Density estimation for one-dimensional dynamical systems
In this paper we prove a Central Limit Theorem for standard kernel estimates of the invariant density of one-dimensional dynamical systems. The two main steps of the proof of this theorem are the following: the study of rate of convergence for the variance of the estimator and a variation on the Lindeberg–Rio method. We also give an extension in the case of weakly dependent sequences in a sense introduced by Doukhan and Louhichi.
Density Estimation for One-Dimensional Dynamical Systems
In this paper we prove a Central Limit Theorem for standard kernel estimates of the invariant density of one-dimensional dynamical systems. The two main steps of the proof of this theorem are the following: the study of rate of convergence for the variance of the estimator and a variation on the Lindeberg–Rio method. We also give an extension in the case of weakly dependent sequences in a sense introduced by Doukhan and Louhichi.
Determination of phase-space reconstruction parameters of chaotic time series
A new method called C-C-1 method is suggested, which can improve some drawbacks of the original C-C method. Based on the theory of period N, a new quantity S(t) for estimating the delay time window of a chaotic time series is given via direct computing a time-series quantity S(m,N,r,t), from which the delay time window can be found. The optimal delay time window is taken as the first period of the chaotic time series with a local minimum of S(t). Only the first local minimum of the average of a...
Fractal time series -- A tutorial review.
Identifying generalized Fitzhugh-Nagumo equation from a numerical solution of Hodgkin-Huxley model.
Inductorless Chua's circuit: experimental time series analysis.
Multivariate smooth transition AR model with aggregation operators and application to exchange rates
An overview of multivariate modelling based on logistic and exponential smooth transition models with transition variable generated by aggregation operators and orders of auto and exogenous regression selected by information criterion separately for each regime is given. Model specification procedure is demonstrated on trivariate exchange rates time series. The application results show satisfactory improvement in fit when particular aggregation operators are used. Source code in the form of Mathematica...
Nonlinear dynamic systems and optimal control problems on time scales
This paper is mainly concerned with a class of optimal control problems of systems governed by the nonlinear dynamic systems on time scales. Introducing the reasonable weak solution of nonlinear dynamic systems, the existence of the weak solution for the nonlinear dynamic systems on time scales and its properties are presented. Discussing L1-strong-weak lower semicontinuity of integral functional, we give sufficient conditions for the existence of optimal controls. Using integration by parts formula...
Nonlinear dynamic systems and optimal control problems on time scales*
This paper is mainly concerned with a class of optimal control problems of systems governed by the nonlinear dynamic systems on time scales. Introducing the reasonable weak solution of nonlinear dynamic systems, the existence of the weak solution for the nonlinear dynamic systems on time scales and its properties are presented. Discussing L1-strong-weak lower semicontinuity of integral functional, we give sufficient conditions for the existence of optimal controls. Using integration by parts formula...
Nonlinear time series: computations and applications.
On some integral inequalities on time scales and their applications.
Parameters identification and synchronization of chaotic delayed systems containing uncertainties and time-varying delay.