Fixed precision estimation of the parameters of a linear regression model with unknown covariance structure
Information inequalities for the minimax risk of sequential estimators are derived in the case where the loss is measured by the squared error of estimation plus a linear functional of the number of observations. The results are applied to construct minimax sequential estimators of: the failure rate in an exponential model with censored data, the expected proportion of uncensored observations in the proportional hazards model, the odds ratio in a binomial distribution and the expectation of exponential...
Variance reduction has always been a central issue in Monte Carlo experiments. Population Monte Carlo can be used to this effect, in that a mixture of importance functions, called a D-kernel, can be iteratively optimized to achieve the minimum asymptotic variance for a function of interest among all possible mixtures. The implementation of this iterative scheme is illustrated for the computation of the price of a European option in the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model. A Central Limit theorem as well...
The problem of finding minimax sequential estimation procedures for stochastic processes is considered. It is assumed that in addition to the loss associated with the error of estimation a cost of observing the process is incurred. A class of minimax sequential procedures is derived explicitly for a one-parameter exponential family of stochastic processes. The minimax sequential procedures are presented in some special models, in particular, for estimating a parameter of exponential families of...
A fully sequential approach to the estimation of the difference of two population means for distributions belonging to the exponential family of distributions is adopted and compared with the best fixed design. Results on the lower bound for the Bayes risk due to estimation and expected costs are presented and shown to be of first order efficiency. Applications involving the Poisson and exponential distributions with gamma priors as well as the Bernouilli distribution with beta priors are given....