Nonparametric density estimators based on nonstationary absolutely regular random sequences.
Given a sample from a discretely observed Lévy process X = (Xt)t≥0 of the finite jump activity, the problem of nonparametric estimation of the Lévy density ρ corresponding to the process X is studied. An estimator of ρ is proposed that is based on a suitable inversion of the Lévy–Khintchine formula and a plug-in device. The main results of the paper deal with upper risk bounds for estimation of ρ over suitable classes of Lévy triplets. The corresponding lower bounds are also discussed.
This paper deals with order identification for Markov chains with Markov regime (MCMR) in the context of finite alphabets. We define the joint order of a MCMR process in terms of the number k of states of the hidden Markov chain and the memory m of the conditional Markov chain. We study the properties of penalized maximum likelihood estimators for the unknown order (k, m) of an observed MCMR process, relying on information theoretic arguments. The novelty of our work relies in the joint...
Two adaptive procedures for controlled Markov chains which are based on a nonparametric window estimation are shown.
We present a review of several results concerning invariant density estimation by observations of ergodic diffusion process and some related problems. In every problem we propose a lower minimax bound on the risks of all estimators and then we construct an asymptotically efficient estimator.
The problem of finding minimax sequential estimation procedures for stochastic processes is considered. It is assumed that in addition to the loss associated with the error of estimation a cost of observing the process is incurred. A class of minimax sequential procedures is derived explicitly for a one-parameter exponential family of stochastic processes. The minimax sequential procedures are presented in some special models, in particular, for estimating a parameter of exponential families of...
The pure and modified Bayesian methods are applied to the estimation of parameters of the Neyman-Scott point process. Their performance is compared to the fast, simulation-free methods via extensive simulation study. Our modified Bayesian method is found to be on average 2.8 times more accurate than the fast methods in the relative mean square errors of the point estimates, where the average is taken over all studied cases. The pure Bayesian method is found to be approximately as good as the fast...
This paper considers stochastic differential equations with solutions which are multidimensional diffusion processes with drift coefficient depending on a parametric vector θ. By considering a trajectory observed up to a stopping time, the maximum likelihood estimator for θ has been obtained and its consistency and asymptotic normality have been proved.
In order to develop a general criterion for proving strong consistency of estimators in Statistics of stochastic processes, we study an extension, to the continuous-time case, of the strong law of large numbers for discrete time square integrable martingales (e.g. Neveu, 1965, 1972). Applications to estimation in diffusion models are given.