The problem of quantile hedging for basket derivatives in the Black-Scholes model with correlation is considered. Explicit formulas for the probability maximizing function and the cost reduction function are derived. Applicability of the results to the widely traded derivatives like digital, quantos, outperformance and spread options is shown.

One of risk measures’ key purposes is to consistently rank and distinguish between different risk profiles. From a practical perspective, a risk measure should also be robust, that is, insensitive to small perturbations in input assumptions. It is known in the literature [14, 39], that strong assumptions on the risk measure’s ability to distinguish between risks may lead to a lack of robustness. We address the trade-off between robustness and consistent risk ranking by specifying the regions in...

We say that a random variable X taking nonnegative integers has selective lack-of-memory (SLM) property with selector s if P(X ≥ n + s/X ≥ n) = P(X ≥ s) for n = 0,1,.... This property is characterized in an elementary manner by probabilities pₙ = P(X=n). An application in car insurance is presented.

We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an information-based approach to the reserving problem, we derive the process of the conditional distribution of the ultimate loss. The "best-estimate ultimate loss process" is given by the conditional expectation of the ultimate loss. We derive explicit expressions for the...

Let $L$ be a parabolic second order differential operator on the domain $\overline{\Pi }=\left[0,T\right]\times ℝ.$ Given a function $\widehat{u}:ℝ\to R$ and $\widehat{x}\>0$ such that the support of $\widehat{u}$ is contained in $(-\infty ,-\widehat{x}]$, we let $\widehat{y}:\overline{\Pi }\to ℝ$ be the solution to the equation:$$L\widehat{y}=0,\widehat{y}{|}_{\left\{0\right\}\times ℝ}=\widehat{u}.$$Given positive bounds $0\<x_0\<x_1,$ we seek a function $u$ with support in $\left[x_0,x_1\right]$ such that the corresponding solution $y$ satisfies:$$y(t,0)=\widehat{y}(t,0)\forall t\in \left[0,T\right].$$We prove in this article that, under some regularity conditions on the coefficients of $L,$ continuous solutions are unique and dense in the sense that $\widehat{y}{|}_{[0,T]\times \left\{0\right\}}$ can be $C^0$-approximated, but an exact solution does not...

Let L be a parabolic second order differential operator on the domain $\overline{\Pi }=\left[0,T\right]\times ℝ.$ Given a function $\widehat{u}:ℝ\to R$ and $\widehat{x}>0$ such that the support of û is contained in $(-\infty ,-\widehat{x}]$, we let $\widehat{y}:\overline{\Pi }\to ℝ$ be the solution to the equation: $$L\widehat{y}=0,\widehat{y}{|}_{\left\{0\right\}\times ℝ}=\widehat{u}.$$ Given positive bounds $0<x_0<x_1,$ we seek a function u with support in $\left[x_0,x_1\right]$ such that the corresponding solution y satisfies: $$y(t,0)=\widehat{y}(t,0)\forall t\in \left[0,T\right].$$ We prove in this article that, under some regularity conditions on the coefficients of L, continuous solutions are unique and dense in the sense that $\widehat{y}{|}_{[0,T]\times \left\{0\right\}}$ can be C0-approximated, but an exact solution...

Our research is centred on the stochastic structure of matched open populations, subjected to periodical reclassifications. These populations are divided into sub-populations. In our application we considered two populations of customers of a bank: with and without account manager. Two or more of such population are matched when there is a 1-1 correspondence between their sub-populations and the elements of one of them can go to another, if and only if the same occurs with elements from the...

New statistical procedures for a change in means problem within a very general panel data structure are proposed. Unlike classical inference tools used for the changepoint problem in the panel data framework, we allow for mutually dependent panels, unequal variances across the panels, and possibly an extremely short follow up period. Two competitive ratio type test statistics are introduced and their asymptotic properties are derived for a large number of available panels. The proposed tests are...

Stochastic Volatility (SV) models are widely used in financial applications. To decide whether standard parametric restrictions are justified for a given data set, a statistical test is required. In this paper, we develop such a test of a linear hypothesis versus a general composite nonparametric alternative using the state space representation of the SV model as an errors-in-variables AR(1) model. The power of the test is analyzed. We provide a simulation study and apply the test to the HFDF96...