ABSTRACT - On the Heuristics of Statistical Results.
Employing recently derived asymptotic representation of the least trimmed squares estimator, the combinations of the forecasts with constraints are studied. Under assumption of unbiasedness of individual forecasts it is shown that the combination without intercept and with constraint imposed on the estimate of regression coefficients that they sum to one, is better than others. A numerical example is included to support theoretical conclusions.
Asymptotic normality of the least trimmed squares estimator is proved under general conditions. At the end of paper a discussion of applicability of the estimator (including the discussion of algorithm for its evaluation) is offered.
-consistency of the least trimmed squares estimator is proved under general conditions. The proof is based on deriving the asymptotic linearity of normal equations.
The consistency of the least trimmed squares estimator (see Rousseeuw [Rous] or Hampel et al. [HamRonRouSta]) is proved under general conditions. The assumptions employed in paper are discussed in details to clarify the consequences for the applications.
A robust version of the Ordinary Least Squares accommodating the idea of weighting the order statistics of the squared residuals (rather than directly the squares of residuals) is recalled and its properties are studied. The existence of solution of the corresponding extremal problem and the consistency under heteroscedasticity is proved.
Results of a numerical study of the behavior of the instrumental weighted variables estimator – in a competition with two other estimators – are presented. The study was performed under various frameworks (homoscedsticity/heteroscedasticity, several level and types of contamination of data, fulfilled/broken orthogonality condition). At the beginning the optimal values of eligible parameters of estimatros in question were empirically established. It was done under the various sizes of data sets and...
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